**Official forecasts for Los Angeles on September 13, 2026, indicate a high in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by a persistent marine layer producing morning low clouds and fog that moderates daytime heating, followed by partly cloudy skies and moderate southwest winds around 10–15 mph.** This typical September pattern, reinforced by onshore flow from the Pacific, aligns with historical averages near 76°F and keeps temperatures below heat-wave thresholds. Trader consensus, reflected in the 58.5% implied probability for 78–79°F and 28% for 80–81°F, incorporates recent model runs showing limited warming potential and the resolution criteria tied to official station data, such as LAX observations. No significant offshore winds or anomalous warmth have emerged to shift the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日洛杉矶气温最高?
78-79°F 60%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 10%
82-83°F 6%
$16,216 交易量
$16,216 交易量
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71华氏度
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
60%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
6%
84-85华氏度
2%
86°F或更高
1%
78-79°F 60%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 10%
82-83°F 6%
$16,216 交易量
$16,216 交易量
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71华氏度
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
60%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
6%
84-85华氏度
2%
86°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 11, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Official forecasts for Los Angeles on September 13, 2026, indicate a high in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by a persistent marine layer producing morning low clouds and fog that moderates daytime heating, followed by partly cloudy skies and moderate southwest winds around 10–15 mph.** This typical September pattern, reinforced by onshore flow from the Pacific, aligns with historical averages near 76°F and keeps temperatures below heat-wave thresholds. Trader consensus, reflected in the 58.5% implied probability for 78–79°F and 28% for 80–81°F, incorporates recent model runs showing limited warming potential and the resolution criteria tied to official station data, such as LAX observations. No significant offshore winds or anomalous warmth have emerged to shift the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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