Forecasts from meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 16°C for Beijing on September 12 under mostly clear skies and light variable winds shifting from south to north. This places the outcome in the middle range between the market's closely matched leading probabilities for 10°C or below versus 20°C or higher. Radiative cooling overnight under dry autumn conditions with low humidity supports moderate lows, while any increase in cloud cover or sustained southerly flow could limit overnight temperature drops. Model runs show limited spread, with historical September baselines around 15–18°C providing context, though updated guidance on wind patterns or boundary layer mixing could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日北京最低气温？
9月12日北京最低气温？
10°C或以下 91%
20°C或以上 90%
13°C 40%
11°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
10°C或以下
91%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
24%
15°C
21%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
19%
20°C或以上
90%
10°C或以下 91%
20°C或以上 90%
13°C 40%
11°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
91%
11°C
$0 交易量
39%
12°C
$0 交易量
39%
13°C
$0 交易量
40%
14°C
$0 交易量
24%
15°C
$0 交易量
21%
16°C
$0 交易量
39%
17°C
$0 交易量
39%
18°C
$0 交易量
39%
19°C
$218 交易量
19%
20°C或以上
$10 交易量
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 16°C for Beijing on September 12 under mostly clear skies and light variable winds shifting from south to north. This places the outcome in the middle range between the market's closely matched leading probabilities for 10°C or below versus 20°C or higher. Radiative cooling overnight under dry autumn conditions with low humidity supports moderate lows, while any increase in cloud cover or sustained southerly flow could limit overnight temperature drops. Model runs show limited spread, with historical September baselines around 15–18°C providing context, though updated guidance on wind patterns or boundary layer mixing could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$228结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 16°C for Beijing on September 12 under mostly clear skies and light variable winds shifting from south to north. This places the outcome in the middle range between the market's closely matched leading probabilities for 10°C or below versus 20°C or higher. Radiative cooling overnight under dry autumn conditions with low humidity supports moderate lows, while any increase in cloud cover or sustained southerly flow could limit overnight temperature drops. Model runs show limited spread, with historical September baselines around 15–18°C providing context, though updated guidance on wind patterns or boundary layer mixing could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$228结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecasts from meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature near 16°C for Beijing on September 12 under mostly clear skies and light variable winds shifting from south to north. This places the outcome in the middle range between the market's closely matched leading probabilities for 10°C or below versus 20°C or higher. Radiative cooling overnight under dry autumn conditions with low humidity supports moderate lows, while any increase in cloud cover or sustained southerly flow could limit overnight temperature drops. Model runs show limited spread, with historical September baselines around 15–18°C providing context, though updated guidance on wind patterns or boundary layer mixing could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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