**Clear skies and light winds are driving efficient overnight radiative cooling in Moscow, positioning the lowest temperature for September 16, 2026, near 5–6°C according to trader consensus.** High-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and northwest breezes around 2–4 m/s allow surface heat to escape rapidly after sunset, while low humidity (around 50–75%) and dew points near 6–8°C limit warming from latent heat. Official forecasts from sources such as GFS-based models and local stations show overnight lows reaching approximately 8–10°C under mostly clear skies, but recent model consensus and early-morning observations have trended slightly cooler than the September climatological average low of ~7.9°C. This supports the market-implied odds favoring 6°C (61.5%) and 5°C (25.5%), with lower probabilities for 4°C or below reflecting the limited additional cooling expected before sunrise. Upcoming hourly data releases and any last adjustments in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing will determine whether the reading settles at the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月16日莫斯科最低气温？
9月16日莫斯科最低气温？
5°C 26%
4°C 6%
3°C 5%
2°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
1°C或以下
<1%
2°C
3%
3°C
5%
4°C
6%
5°C
26%
6°C
66%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C或更高
<1%
5°C 26%
4°C 6%
3°C 5%
2°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-16
1°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
2°C
$0 交易量
3%
3°C
$20 交易量
5%
4°C
$25 交易量
6%
5°C
$34 交易量
26%
6°C
$76 交易量
66%
7°C
$203 交易量
<1%
8°C
$16 交易量
<1%
9°C
$0 交易量
<1%
10°C
$30 交易量
<1%
11°C或更高
$22 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds are driving efficient overnight radiative cooling in Moscow, positioning the lowest temperature for September 16, 2026, near 5–6°C according to trader consensus.**
High-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and northwest breezes around 2–4 m/s allow surface heat to escape rapidly after sunset, while low humidity (around 50–75%) and dew points near 6–8°C limit warming from latent heat. Official forecasts from sources such as GFS-based models and local stations show overnight lows reaching approximately 8–10°C under mostly clear skies, but recent model consensus and early-morning observations have trended slightly cooler than the September climatological average low of ~7.9°C. This supports the market-implied odds favoring 6°C (61.5%) and 5°C (25.5%), with lower probabilities for 4°C or below reflecting the limited additional cooling expected before sunrise.
Upcoming hourly data releases and any last adjustments in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing will determine whether the reading settles at the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$426结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds are driving efficient overnight radiative cooling in Moscow, positioning the lowest temperature for September 16, 2026, near 5–6°C according to trader consensus.**
High-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and northwest breezes around 2–4 m/s allow surface heat to escape rapidly after sunset, while low humidity (around 50–75%) and dew points near 6–8°C limit warming from latent heat. Official forecasts from sources such as GFS-based models and local stations show overnight lows reaching approximately 8–10°C under mostly clear skies, but recent model consensus and early-morning observations have trended slightly cooler than the September climatological average low of ~7.9°C. This supports the market-implied odds favoring 6°C (61.5%) and 5°C (25.5%), with lower probabilities for 4°C or below reflecting the limited additional cooling expected before sunrise.
Upcoming hourly data releases and any last adjustments in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing will determine whether the reading settles at the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$426结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Clear skies and light winds are driving efficient overnight radiative cooling in Moscow, positioning the lowest temperature for September 16, 2026, near 5–6°C according to trader consensus.** High-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and northwest breezes around 2–4 m/s allow surface heat to escape rapidly after sunset, while low humidity (around 50–75%) and dew points near 6–8°C limit warming from latent heat. Official forecasts from sources such as GFS-based models and local stations show overnight lows reaching approximately 8–10°C under mostly clear skies, but recent model consensus and early-morning observations have trended slightly cooler than the September climatological average low of ~7.9°C. This supports the market-implied odds favoring 6°C (61.5%) and 5°C (25.5%), with lower probabilities for 4°C or below reflecting the limited additional cooling expected before sunrise. Upcoming hourly data releases and any last adjustments in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing will determine whether the reading settles at the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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