**Forecast models indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 14, 2026, will likely fall between 12–14°C, with trader-implied odds closely split between these outcomes due to minor differences in model guidance and local measurement variability.** Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and high humidity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply below recent norms for mid-September. Official observations from stations like Warsaw Chopin Airport and nearby sites show early-morning readings hovering near 12–14°C amid drizzle and overcast skies, while afternoon highs reached the mid-to-upper teens. Slight disagreements among ensemble runs—particularly regarding exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts—create the narrow spread in probabilities, with resolution depending on the precise lowest hourly or daily minimum recorded by meteorological authorities. Updated model runs and final station data will clarify the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月14日华沙最低气温？
9月14日华沙最低气温？
14°C 100.0%
12°C 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
$1,520 交易量
$1,520 交易量
2026-09-14
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16℃
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或更高
否
14°C 100.0%
12°C 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
$1,520 交易量
$1,520 交易量
2026-09-14
9°C或以下
$270 交易量
否
10°C
$97 交易量
否
11°C
$297 交易量
否
12°C
$0 交易量
否
13°C
$86 交易量
否
14°C
$215 交易量
是
15°C
$555 交易量
否
16℃
$0 交易量
否
17°C
$0 交易量
否
18°C
$0 交易量
否
19°C或更高
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 14, 2026, will likely fall between 12–14°C, with trader-implied odds closely split between these outcomes due to minor differences in model guidance and local measurement variability.** Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and high humidity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply below recent norms for mid-September. Official observations from stations like Warsaw Chopin Airport and nearby sites show early-morning readings hovering near 12–14°C amid drizzle and overcast skies, while afternoon highs reached the mid-to-upper teens. Slight disagreements among ensemble runs—particularly regarding exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts—create the narrow spread in probabilities, with resolution depending on the precise lowest hourly or daily minimum recorded by meteorological authorities. Updated model runs and final station data will clarify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,520结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 14, 2026, will likely fall between 12–14°C, with trader-implied odds closely split between these outcomes due to minor differences in model guidance and local measurement variability.** Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and high humidity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply below recent norms for mid-September. Official observations from stations like Warsaw Chopin Airport and nearby sites show early-morning readings hovering near 12–14°C amid drizzle and overcast skies, while afternoon highs reached the mid-to-upper teens. Slight disagreements among ensemble runs—particularly regarding exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts—create the narrow spread in probabilities, with resolution depending on the precise lowest hourly or daily minimum recorded by meteorological authorities. Updated model runs and final station data will clarify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,520结束日期
2026-09-14市场开放时间
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Forecast models indicate Warsaw's overnight minimum on September 14, 2026, will likely fall between 12–14°C, with trader-implied odds closely split between these outcomes due to minor differences in model guidance and local measurement variability.** Persistent cloud cover, light winds, and high humidity have limited radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from dropping sharply below recent norms for mid-September. Official observations from stations like Warsaw Chopin Airport and nearby sites show early-morning readings hovering near 12–14°C amid drizzle and overcast skies, while afternoon highs reached the mid-to-upper teens. Slight disagreements among ensemble runs—particularly regarding exact timing of any clearing or wind shifts—create the narrow spread in probabilities, with resolution depending on the precise lowest hourly or daily minimum recorded by meteorological authorities. Updated model runs and final station data will clarify the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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