Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and local European agencies indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 17 will likely settle between 11–14°C under light showers, clearing skies, and west-southwest winds of 5–15 km/h with pressure near 1014 hPa. Radiative cooling after daytime highs around 17–20°C, combined with moderate humidity near 80–90%, supports this range, while historical September minima for the city average near 10–12°C. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced across 8–13°C outcomes because model ensembles show only modest spread, with limited risk of deeper cooling unless winds calm further or cloud cover increases. Updated runs and station observations through the evening will refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日华沙最低气温？
9月17日华沙最低气温？
8°C 100%
7°C或以下 90%
9°C 89%
12°C 51%
$312 交易量
$312 交易量
2026-09-17
7°C或以下
90%
8°C
100%
9°C
89%
10°C
46%
11°C
26%
12°C
51%
13°C
50%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C或更高
<1%
8°C 100%
7°C或以下 90%
9°C 89%
12°C 51%
$312 交易量
$312 交易量
2026-09-17
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
90%
8°C
$0 交易量
100%
9°C
$0 交易量
89%
10°C
$10 交易量
46%
11°C
$0 交易量
26%
12°C
$0 交易量
51%
13°C
$0 交易量
50%
14°C
$156 交易量
<1%
15°C
$72 交易量
<1%
16°C
$46 交易量
<1%
17°C或更高
$28 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and local European agencies indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 17 will likely settle between 11–14°C under light showers, clearing skies, and west-southwest winds of 5–15 km/h with pressure near 1014 hPa. Radiative cooling after daytime highs around 17–20°C, combined with moderate humidity near 80–90%, supports this range, while historical September minima for the city average near 10–12°C. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced across 8–13°C outcomes because model ensembles show only modest spread, with limited risk of deeper cooling unless winds calm further or cloud cover increases. Updated runs and station observations through the evening will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$312结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS and local European agencies indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 17 will likely settle between 11–14°C under light showers, clearing skies, and west-southwest winds of 5–15 km/h with pressure near 1014 hPa. Radiative cooling after daytime highs around 17–20°C, combined with moderate humidity near 80–90%, supports this range, while historical September minima for the city average near 10–12°C. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced across 8–13°C outcomes because model ensembles show only modest spread, with limited risk of deeper cooling unless winds calm further or cloud cover increases. Updated runs and station observations through the evening will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$312结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast models from sources including GFS and local European agencies indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 17 will likely settle between 11–14°C under light showers, clearing skies, and west-southwest winds of 5–15 km/h with pressure near 1014 hPa. Radiative cooling after daytime highs around 17–20°C, combined with moderate humidity near 80–90%, supports this range, while historical September minima for the city average near 10–12°C. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced across 8–13°C outcomes because model ensembles show only modest spread, with limited risk of deeper cooling unless winds calm further or cloud cover increases. Updated runs and station observations through the evening will refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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