Recent observational data and model consensus from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a minimum temperature of 13°C in Buenos Aires on September 19, driving the dominant 90% market-implied probability for that outcome. Springtime conditions featured stable high pressure and light winds overnight, limiting radiative cooling while daytime maxima stayed moderate, keeping the daily low above typical early-spring values near 10–11°C. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest station readings and short-range forecast verification showing no colder advection from the south, reducing the odds of 12°C or lower. Upcoming official daily summaries will confirm the exact recorded minimum and resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
9月19日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
13°C 99%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
14°C <1%
$1,370 交易量
$1,370 交易量
2026-09-19
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或更高
否
13°C 99%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
14°C <1%
$1,370 交易量
$1,370 交易量
2026-09-19
10°C或以下
$366 交易量
否
11°C
$41 交易量
否
12°C
$21 交易量
否
13°C
$73 交易量
是
14°C
$70 交易量
否
15°C
$201 交易量
否
16°C
$35 交易量
否
17°C
$5 交易量
否
18°C
$5 交易量
否
19°C
$62 交易量
否
20°C或更高
$491 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and model consensus from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a minimum temperature of 13°C in Buenos Aires on September 19, driving the dominant 90% market-implied probability for that outcome. Springtime conditions featured stable high pressure and light winds overnight, limiting radiative cooling while daytime maxima stayed moderate, keeping the daily low above typical early-spring values near 10–11°C. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest station readings and short-range forecast verification showing no colder advection from the south, reducing the odds of 12°C or lower. Upcoming official daily summaries will confirm the exact recorded minimum and resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,370结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and model consensus from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a minimum temperature of 13°C in Buenos Aires on September 19, driving the dominant 90% market-implied probability for that outcome. Springtime conditions featured stable high pressure and light winds overnight, limiting radiative cooling while daytime maxima stayed moderate, keeping the daily low above typical early-spring values near 10–11°C. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest station readings and short-range forecast verification showing no colder advection from the south, reducing the odds of 12°C or lower. Upcoming official daily summaries will confirm the exact recorded minimum and resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,370结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent observational data and model consensus from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional point to a minimum temperature of 13°C in Buenos Aires on September 19, driving the dominant 90% market-implied probability for that outcome. Springtime conditions featured stable high pressure and light winds overnight, limiting radiative cooling while daytime maxima stayed moderate, keeping the daily low above typical early-spring values near 10–11°C. Traders appear to have incorporated the latest station readings and short-range forecast verification showing no colder advection from the south, reducing the odds of 12°C or lower. Upcoming official daily summaries will confirm the exact recorded minimum and resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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