Recent forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 13, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and increasing cloud cover with a chance of light showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon. This setup contrasts with warmer conditions on September 12 and aligns with climatological norms of roughly 24°C maximum for mid-September. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 22°C and 34.5% for 23°C incorporates uncertainty in exact peak timing, precipitation timing, and official measurement criteria from the Turkish Meteorological Service, with lower odds on 24°C or higher acknowledging potential cooling effects from sustained northerly flow and reduced insolation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
9月13日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
22°C 55%
23°C 31%
21°C 12%
24°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
20°C或以下
2%
21°C
12%
22°C
55%
23°C
31%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
22°C 55%
23°C 31%
21°C 12%
24°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-13
20°C或以下
$135 交易量
2%
21°C
$398 交易量
12%
22°C
$551 交易量
55%
23°C
$330 交易量
31%
24°C
$135 交易量
5%
25°C
$103 交易量
3%
26°C
$236 交易量
1%
27°C
$167 交易量
<1%
28°C
$252 交易量
<1%
29°C
$169 交易量
<1%
30°C或更高
$163 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 13, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and increasing cloud cover with a chance of light showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon. This setup contrasts with warmer conditions on September 12 and aligns with climatological norms of roughly 24°C maximum for mid-September. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 22°C and 34.5% for 23°C incorporates uncertainty in exact peak timing, precipitation timing, and official measurement criteria from the Turkish Meteorological Service, with lower odds on 24°C or higher acknowledging potential cooling effects from sustained northerly flow and reduced insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$2,640结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 13, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and increasing cloud cover with a chance of light showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon. This setup contrasts with warmer conditions on September 12 and aligns with climatological norms of roughly 24°C maximum for mid-September. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 22°C and 34.5% for 23°C incorporates uncertainty in exact peak timing, precipitation timing, and official measurement criteria from the Turkish Meteorological Service, with lower odds on 24°C or higher acknowledging potential cooling effects from sustained northerly flow and reduced insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,640结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a high near 23–25°C for Istanbul on September 13, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler air and increasing cloud cover with a chance of light showers or thunderstorms in the afternoon. This setup contrasts with warmer conditions on September 12 and aligns with climatological norms of roughly 24°C maximum for mid-September. Trader consensus reflected in the 50.5% implied probability for 22°C and 34.5% for 23°C incorporates uncertainty in exact peak timing, precipitation timing, and official measurement criteria from the Turkish Meteorological Service, with lower odds on 24°C or higher acknowledging potential cooling effects from sustained northerly flow and reduced insolation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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