Recent official forecasts from Turkish meteorological sources and global models project Istanbul's overnight low on September 13 near 17–19 °C under northerly flow and scattered showers, consistent with the seasonal transition from summer warmth. The market's strongest implied probability for an 18 °C low aligns with this consensus and typical early-September minima, while the elevated odds for 16 °C reflect the chance of enhanced radiational cooling if cloud cover clears. Current observations show temperatures falling through the high teens by late evening amid moderate humidity and winds of 10–15 km/h, with little model divergence expected before midnight resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月13日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
9月13日伊斯坦布尔的最低温度？
16°C 94%
17°C 94%
15°C或以下 75.8%
19°C <1%
$816 交易量
$816 交易量
2026-09-13
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或更高
否
16°C 94%
17°C 94%
15°C或以下 75.8%
19°C <1%
$816 交易量
$816 交易量
2026-09-13
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
16°C
$88 交易量
否
17°C
$145 交易量
否
18°C
$438 交易量
是
19°C
$52 交易量
否
20°C
$43 交易量
否
21°C
$5 交易量
否
22°C
$0 交易量
否
23°C
$15 交易量
否
24°C
$15 交易量
否
25°C或更高
$15 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Turkish meteorological sources and global models project Istanbul's overnight low on September 13 near 17–19 °C under northerly flow and scattered showers, consistent with the seasonal transition from summer warmth. The market's strongest implied probability for an 18 °C low aligns with this consensus and typical early-September minima, while the elevated odds for 16 °C reflect the chance of enhanced radiational cooling if cloud cover clears. Current observations show temperatures falling through the high teens by late evening amid moderate humidity and winds of 10–15 km/h, with little model divergence expected before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$816结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Turkish meteorological sources and global models project Istanbul's overnight low on September 13 near 17–19 °C under northerly flow and scattered showers, consistent with the seasonal transition from summer warmth. The market's strongest implied probability for an 18 °C low aligns with this consensus and typical early-September minima, while the elevated odds for 16 °C reflect the chance of enhanced radiational cooling if cloud cover clears. Current observations show temperatures falling through the high teens by late evening amid moderate humidity and winds of 10–15 km/h, with little model divergence expected before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$816结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent official forecasts from Turkish meteorological sources and global models project Istanbul's overnight low on September 13 near 17–19 °C under northerly flow and scattered showers, consistent with the seasonal transition from summer warmth. The market's strongest implied probability for an 18 °C low aligns with this consensus and typical early-September minima, while the elevated odds for 16 °C reflect the chance of enhanced radiational cooling if cloud cover clears. Current observations show temperatures falling through the high teens by late evening amid moderate humidity and winds of 10–15 km/h, with little model divergence expected before midnight resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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