**Trader consensus has converged on an 18°C daily maximum for Amsterdam on September 9, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts amid cool, unsettled conditions.** Multiple meteorological models and services project a high of exactly 18°C under periods of moderate rain, thunderstorms, and northwest winds, well below the 1991–2020 average high of 19.9°C for the date. This outcome aligns with observed temperatures hovering in the mid-teens Celsius during daylight hours and the influence of a moist air mass limiting diurnal warming. Resolution depends on verified measurements, typically from Schiphol station; while strong model agreement supports the current market-implied odds, a late-day clearing or localized warming could theoretically push readings higher, though such shifts appear improbable given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日阿姆斯特丹气温最高?
18°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$55,292 交易量
$55,292 交易量
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
18°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$55,292 交易量
$55,292 交易量
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Trader consensus has converged on an 18°C daily maximum for Amsterdam on September 9, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts amid cool, unsettled conditions.** Multiple meteorological models and services project a high of exactly 18°C under periods of moderate rain, thunderstorms, and northwest winds, well below the 1991–2020 average high of 19.9°C for the date. This outcome aligns with observed temperatures hovering in the mid-teens Celsius during daylight hours and the influence of a moist air mass limiting diurnal warming. Resolution depends on verified measurements, typically from Schiphol station; while strong model agreement supports the current market-implied odds, a late-day clearing or localized warming could theoretically push readings higher, though such shifts appear improbable given the entrenched synoptic pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题