Recent European model runs and official guidance from agencies like the Met Office indicate a mild September day in Amsterdam with daytime maxima likely peaking near 19–20°C under light southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered light rain that limits solar heating. Persistent high pressure to the east maintains stable conditions without strong advection of warmer air, keeping values close to the long-term September average high of about 19.6°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of showers versus any afternoon breaks in cloud, with updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours to refine the peak reading. Traders price the 20°C outcome highest given this narrow forecast spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日阿姆斯特丹气温最高?
20°C 46%
19°C 30%
21°C 23%
17°C 9%
14°C或以下
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
9%
18°C
9%
19°C
24%
20°C
46%
21°C
23%
22°C
5%
23°C
4%
24°C或更高
1%
20°C 46%
19°C 30%
21°C 23%
17°C 9%
14°C或以下
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
9%
18°C
9%
19°C
24%
20°C
46%
21°C
23%
22°C
5%
23°C
4%
24°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent European model runs and official guidance from agencies like the Met Office indicate a mild September day in Amsterdam with daytime maxima likely peaking near 19–20°C under light southerly flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered light rain that limits solar heating. Persistent high pressure to the east maintains stable conditions without strong advection of warmer air, keeping values close to the long-term September average high of about 19.6°C. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing and intensity of showers versus any afternoon breaks in cloud, with updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours to refine the peak reading. Traders price the 20°C outcome highest given this narrow forecast spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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