Recent forecast guidance from sources including MetService and international models points to a maximum near 13–14°C in Wellington on September 9, establishing the primary driver behind the 65.5% implied probability for 14°C. Northerly flow ahead of an approaching front is expected to deliver mild spring air under mostly sunny conditions before stronger northwesterlies develop, consistent with climatological September highs averaging roughly 14–15°C. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread around these values, though minor timing shifts in the front could allow a 15°C peak or keep readings at 13°C. Official observations from Wellington stations will determine resolution once the full diurnal range is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月9日惠灵顿的最高温度？
14°C 66%
15°C 17%
13°C 15%
12°C 2%
最新
$12,992 交易量
最新
$12,992 交易量
2026-09-09
8°C或以下
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
15%
14°C
66%
15°C
17%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
14°C 66%
15°C 17%
13°C 15%
12°C 2%
最新
$12,992 交易量
最新
$12,992 交易量
2026-09-09
8°C或以下
$1,366 交易量
<1%
9°C
$355 交易量
<1%
10°C
$419 交易量
<1%
11°C
$871 交易量
1%
12°C
$850 交易量
2%
13°C
$2,191 交易量
15%
14°C
$2,628 交易量
66%
15°C
$2,212 交易量
17%
16°C
$693 交易量
1%
17°C
$790 交易量
<1%
18°C或更高
$616 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources including MetService and international models points to a maximum near 13–14°C in Wellington on September 9, establishing the primary driver behind the 65.5% implied probability for 14°C. Northerly flow ahead of an approaching front is expected to deliver mild spring air under mostly sunny conditions before stronger northwesterlies develop, consistent with climatological September highs averaging roughly 14–15°C. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread around these values, though minor timing shifts in the front could allow a 15°C peak or keep readings at 13°C. Official observations from Wellington stations will determine resolution once the full diurnal range is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$12,992结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources including MetService and international models points to a maximum near 13–14°C in Wellington on September 9, establishing the primary driver behind the 65.5% implied probability for 14°C. Northerly flow ahead of an approaching front is expected to deliver mild spring air under mostly sunny conditions before stronger northwesterlies develop, consistent with climatological September highs averaging roughly 14–15°C. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread around these values, though minor timing shifts in the front could allow a 15°C peak or keep readings at 13°C. Official observations from Wellington stations will determine resolution once the full diurnal range is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,992结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from sources including MetService and international models points to a maximum near 13–14°C in Wellington on September 9, establishing the primary driver behind the 65.5% implied probability for 14°C. Northerly flow ahead of an approaching front is expected to deliver mild spring air under mostly sunny conditions before stronger northwesterlies develop, consistent with climatological September highs averaging roughly 14–15°C. Ensemble consensus shows limited spread around these values, though minor timing shifts in the front could allow a 15°C peak or keep readings at 13°C. Official observations from Wellington stations will determine resolution once the full diurnal range is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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