**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 30°C daily maximum in Manila on September 10, 2026, reflecting official forecast guidance and current atmospheric conditions.** September typically features southwest monsoon influences with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit peak solar heating, producing afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 29–31°C. Recent model runs and station observations show temperatures climbing to around 28–30°C amid light southwesterly winds and persistent moisture, aligning closely with the implied probability. Realistic challenges include localized clearing that could allow brief additional warming toward 31°C or measurement differences across urban stations, though widespread rain and overcast skies make significant deviations unlikely before the observation window closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日马尼拉的最高温度?
30°C 100.0%
24℃或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$31,396 交易量
$31,396 交易量
24℃或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
30°C 100.0%
24℃或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$31,396 交易量
$31,396 交易量
24℃或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus has coalesced around a 30°C daily maximum in Manila on September 10, 2026, reflecting official forecast guidance and current atmospheric conditions.** September typically features southwest monsoon influences with high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit peak solar heating, producing afternoon highs near the seasonal average of 29–31°C. Recent model runs and station observations show temperatures climbing to around 28–30°C amid light southwesterly winds and persistent moisture, aligning closely with the implied probability. Realistic challenges include localized clearing that could allow brief additional warming toward 31°C or measurement differences across urban stations, though widespread rain and overcast skies make significant deviations unlikely before the observation window closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题