Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate a daytime high near 30–31°C in Manila on September 12 under the southwest monsoon, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light winds limiting peak heating. High humidity and frequent cloud cover reduce solar insolation compared to clearer conditions, while urban heat island effects and any brief sun breaks could nudge readings slightly higher. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31°C because models show modest day-to-day variability typical of September climatology, with resolution hinging on precise rainfall timing and intensity. Official observations from PAGASA stations will determine the exact maximum, with final data releases expected shortly after the period closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日马尼拉的最高温度？
9月12日马尼拉的最高温度？
31°C 34%
32°C 28%
30°C 18%
33°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
18%
31°C
34%
32°C
28%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C或更高
1%
31°C 34%
32°C 28%
30°C 18%
33°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-12
25°C或以下
$212 交易量
<1%
26°C
$155 交易量
<1%
27°C
$251 交易量
2%
28°C
$124 交易量
2%
29°C
$256 交易量
5%
30°C
$322 交易量
18%
31°C
$835 交易量
34%
32°C
$637 交易量
28%
33°C
$673 交易量
10%
34°C
$49 交易量
2%
35°C或更高
$1 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate a daytime high near 30–31°C in Manila on September 12 under the southwest monsoon, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light winds limiting peak heating. High humidity and frequent cloud cover reduce solar insolation compared to clearer conditions, while urban heat island effects and any brief sun breaks could nudge readings slightly higher. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31°C because models show modest day-to-day variability typical of September climatology, with resolution hinging on precise rainfall timing and intensity. Official observations from PAGASA stations will determine the exact maximum, with final data releases expected shortly after the period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
交易量
$3,515结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate a daytime high near 30–31°C in Manila on September 12 under the southwest monsoon, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light winds limiting peak heating. High humidity and frequent cloud cover reduce solar insolation compared to clearer conditions, while urban heat island effects and any brief sun breaks could nudge readings slightly higher. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31°C because models show modest day-to-day variability typical of September climatology, with resolution hinging on precise rainfall timing and intensity. Official observations from PAGASA stations will determine the exact maximum, with final data releases expected shortly after the period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,515结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ETCurrent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate a daytime high near 30–31°C in Manila on September 12 under the southwest monsoon, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and light winds limiting peak heating. High humidity and frequent cloud cover reduce solar insolation compared to clearer conditions, while urban heat island effects and any brief sun breaks could nudge readings slightly higher. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31°C because models show modest day-to-day variability typical of September climatology, with resolution hinging on precise rainfall timing and intensity. Official observations from PAGASA stations will determine the exact maximum, with final data releases expected shortly after the period closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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