**Trader consensus at 100% for a 14°C high in Wellington on September 11, 2026, aligns with real-time observations and forecasts from regional monitoring networks.** Surface stations and model runs, including those referenced by MetService and international equivalents, recorded afternoon maxima near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly to northwesterly winds. This matches climatological norms for early spring in the region, where daily highs typically range 12–15°C absent strong frontal systems. The market-implied odds reflect the narrow band of possible outcomes once the official daily maximum is confirmed, with only minor variance possible from station siting differences or short-lived wind shifts. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating is indicated in the latest analyses that would push readings into the next threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月11日惠灵顿的最高温度？
14°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$45,659 交易量
$45,659 交易量
2026-09-11
9°C或以下
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16℃
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C或更高
否
14°C 100.0%
9°C或以下 <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$45,659 交易量
$45,659 交易量
2026-09-11
9°C或以下
$944 交易量
否
10°C
$176 交易量
否
11°C
$284 交易量
否
12°C
$2,029 交易量
否
13°C
$7,359 交易量
否
14°C
$11,889 交易量
是
15°C
$11,810 交易量
否
16℃
$6,599 交易量
否
17°C
$2,641 交易量
否
18°C
$1,456 交易量
否
19°C或更高
$471 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 14°C high in Wellington on September 11, 2026, aligns with real-time observations and forecasts from regional monitoring networks.**
Surface stations and model runs, including those referenced by MetService and international equivalents, recorded afternoon maxima near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly to northwesterly winds. This matches climatological norms for early spring in the region, where daily highs typically range 12–15°C absent strong frontal systems. The market-implied odds reflect the narrow band of possible outcomes once the official daily maximum is confirmed, with only minor variance possible from station siting differences or short-lived wind shifts. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating is indicated in the latest analyses that would push readings into the next threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$45,659结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 14°C high in Wellington on September 11, 2026, aligns with real-time observations and forecasts from regional monitoring networks.**
Surface stations and model runs, including those referenced by MetService and international equivalents, recorded afternoon maxima near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly to northwesterly winds. This matches climatological norms for early spring in the region, where daily highs typically range 12–15°C absent strong frontal systems. The market-implied odds reflect the narrow band of possible outcomes once the official daily maximum is confirmed, with only minor variance possible from station siting differences or short-lived wind shifts. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating is indicated in the latest analyses that would push readings into the next threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$45,659结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 14°C high in Wellington on September 11, 2026, aligns with real-time observations and forecasts from regional monitoring networks.** Surface stations and model runs, including those referenced by MetService and international equivalents, recorded afternoon maxima near 13–14°C under partly cloudy skies with moderate northerly to northwesterly winds. This matches climatological norms for early spring in the region, where daily highs typically range 12–15°C absent strong frontal systems. The market-implied odds reflect the narrow band of possible outcomes once the official daily maximum is confirmed, with only minor variance possible from station siting differences or short-lived wind shifts. No significant warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating is indicated in the latest analyses that would push readings into the next threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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