Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Friday high near 99°F in Austin under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This pattern sustains warm, humid advection from the Gulf, with dew points in the mid-70s supporting heat indices above 105°F while limiting full solar heating through scattered afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers. Recent days have featured similar upper-90s readings amid a broader late-summer ridge, exceeding the 1991–2020 September average high of 92°F. Trader sentiment remains split between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the observed maximum across the 100°F threshold before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日奥斯汀的最高温度？
9月11日奥斯汀的最高温度？
98-99华氏度 49%
100-101°F 40%
96-97°F 7%
102-103°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
87°F或以下
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
7%
98-99华氏度
49%
100-101°F
40%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106华氏度或更高
1%
98-99华氏度 49%
100-101°F 40%
96-97°F 7%
102-103°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
87°F或以下
$391 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$52 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$120 交易量
1%
92-93°F
$200 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$0 交易量
3%
96-97°F
$97 交易量
7%
98-99华氏度
$511 交易量
49%
100-101°F
$1,576 交易量
40%
102-103°F
$310 交易量
6%
104-105°F
$106 交易量
2%
106华氏度或更高
$21 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Friday high near 99°F in Austin under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This pattern sustains warm, humid advection from the Gulf, with dew points in the mid-70s supporting heat indices above 105°F while limiting full solar heating through scattered afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers. Recent days have featured similar upper-90s readings amid a broader late-summer ridge, exceeding the 1991–2020 September average high of 92°F. Trader sentiment remains split between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the observed maximum across the 100°F threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,384结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Friday high near 99°F in Austin under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This pattern sustains warm, humid advection from the Gulf, with dew points in the mid-70s supporting heat indices above 105°F while limiting full solar heating through scattered afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers. Recent days have featured similar upper-90s readings amid a broader late-summer ridge, exceeding the 1991–2020 September average high of 92°F. Trader sentiment remains split between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the observed maximum across the 100°F threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,384结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Friday high near 99°F in Austin under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This pattern sustains warm, humid advection from the Gulf, with dew points in the mid-70s supporting heat indices above 105°F while limiting full solar heating through scattered afternoon cloud build-up and isolated showers. Recent days have featured similar upper-90s readings amid a broader late-summer ridge, exceeding the 1991–2020 September average high of 92°F. Trader sentiment remains split between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the observed maximum across the 100°F threshold before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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