Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate Milan’s September 11 peak will likely reach the mid-20s °C under stable high pressure, light southwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme heating while allowing modest diurnal warming in the Po Valley. Official guidance points to an afternoon maximum near 23–24 °C, consistent with early-autumn climatology where daily highs average 22–25 °C. The market’s strong preference for 25 °C (62 % implied probability) reflects traders weighting the possibility of brief clearing or slightly warmer boundary-layer mixing, while lower odds on 26 °C or above capture residual uncertainty in model spread and urban heat-island effects. With the daily maximum typically occurring in the early afternoon, final observations from Milan’s meteorological stations will resolve the market shortly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日米兰的最高温度？
9月11日米兰的最高温度？
25°C 54%
24°C 28%
26°C 18%
21°C <1%
$44,144 交易量
$44,144 交易量
2026-09-11
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
28%
25°C
54%
26°C
18%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
25°C 54%
24°C 28%
26°C 18%
21°C <1%
$44,144 交易量
$44,144 交易量
2026-09-11
18°C或以下
$1,414 交易量
<1%
19°C
$13,758 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,738 交易量
<1%
21°C
$513 交易量
1%
22°C
$778 交易量
<1%
23°C
$2,045 交易量
<1%
24°C
$3,989 交易量
28%
25°C
$9,639 交易量
54%
26°C
$6,184 交易量
18%
27°C
$2,013 交易量
<1%
28°C或更高
$2,287 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate Milan’s September 11 peak will likely reach the mid-20s °C under stable high pressure, light southwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme heating while allowing modest diurnal warming in the Po Valley. Official guidance points to an afternoon maximum near 23–24 °C, consistent with early-autumn climatology where daily highs average 22–25 °C. The market’s strong preference for 25 °C (62 % implied probability) reflects traders weighting the possibility of brief clearing or slightly warmer boundary-layer mixing, while lower odds on 26 °C or above capture residual uncertainty in model spread and urban heat-island effects. With the daily maximum typically occurring in the early afternoon, final observations from Milan’s meteorological stations will resolve the market shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$44,144结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate Milan’s September 11 peak will likely reach the mid-20s °C under stable high pressure, light southwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme heating while allowing modest diurnal warming in the Po Valley. Official guidance points to an afternoon maximum near 23–24 °C, consistent with early-autumn climatology where daily highs average 22–25 °C. The market’s strong preference for 25 °C (62 % implied probability) reflects traders weighting the possibility of brief clearing or slightly warmer boundary-layer mixing, while lower odds on 26 °C or above capture residual uncertainty in model spread and urban heat-island effects. With the daily maximum typically occurring in the early afternoon, final observations from Milan’s meteorological stations will resolve the market shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$44,144结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate Milan’s September 11 peak will likely reach the mid-20s °C under stable high pressure, light southwesterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit extreme heating while allowing modest diurnal warming in the Po Valley. Official guidance points to an afternoon maximum near 23–24 °C, consistent with early-autumn climatology where daily highs average 22–25 °C. The market’s strong preference for 25 °C (62 % implied probability) reflects traders weighting the possibility of brief clearing or slightly warmer boundary-layer mixing, while lower odds on 26 °C or above capture residual uncertainty in model spread and urban heat-island effects. With the daily maximum typically occurring in the early afternoon, final observations from Milan’s meteorological stations will resolve the market shortly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题