Latest meteorological forecasts for Milan on September 11, 2026, converge on an overnight low near 16°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure promoting moderate radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection. This aligns with climatological September averages around 16°C and current model consensus from sources like GFS, which show no incoming fronts or anomalous cooling to push temperatures lower. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 16°C as the resolution threshold because recent model runs have remained stable, limiting upside or downside scenarios, while official station data will determine the final minimum once the 24-hour period closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日米兰最低气温?
16°C 99.5%
15°C 14%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
$750 交易量
$750 交易量
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
16°C 99.5%
15°C 14%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
$750 交易量
$750 交易量
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Latest meteorological forecasts for Milan on September 11, 2026, converge on an overnight low near 16°C under clear skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure promoting moderate radiative cooling without strong cold-air advection. This aligns with climatological September averages around 16°C and current model consensus from sources like GFS, which show no incoming fronts or anomalous cooling to push temperatures lower. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor 16°C as the resolution threshold because recent model runs have remained stable, limiting upside or downside scenarios, while official station data will determine the final minimum once the 24-hour period closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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