Traders have overwhelmingly priced 25°C as the certain outcome for Wuhan's highest temperature on September 10, reflecting real-time surface observations and short-range forecast consensus from regional meteorological networks. Current conditions show afternoon maxima stabilizing near this level under typical early-autumn subsidence and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological baselines for the Yangtze River valley in mid-September. Model guidance indicates minimal diurnal variability and no significant frontal passages that would push readings higher or lower. Only an unexpected instrumentation error or post-hoc quality-control revision at the official reporting station could alter the result, both of which are statistically rare given established verification protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日武汉气温最高?
25°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$37,421 交易量
$37,421 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
25°C 100.0%
23°C或以下 <1%
24°C <1%
26°C <1%
$37,421 交易量
$37,421 交易量
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders have overwhelmingly priced 25°C as the certain outcome for Wuhan's highest temperature on September 10, reflecting real-time surface observations and short-range forecast consensus from regional meteorological networks. Current conditions show afternoon maxima stabilizing near this level under typical early-autumn subsidence and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological baselines for the Yangtze River valley in mid-September. Model guidance indicates minimal diurnal variability and no significant frontal passages that would push readings higher or lower. Only an unexpected instrumentation error or post-hoc quality-control revision at the official reporting station could alter the result, both of which are statistically rare given established verification protocols.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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