National Weather Service forecasts for New York City, including Central Park observations and model guidance, indicate an overnight low near 70–72°F under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds, supporting the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for a 72–73°F minimum. This aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where urban heat retention and modest radiative cooling under weak high pressure limit further drops. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns with no incoming fronts or increased cloud cover expected to alter the trajectory. A realistic challenge could arise from localized variations in wind speed or unexpected clear-sky cooling exceeding current projections, though official updates through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日纽约市最低气温？
9月10日纽约市最低气温？
72-73°F 98%
70-71°F 8%
68-69°F <1%
67°F或更低 <1%
$7,827 交易量
$7,827 交易量
2026-09-10
67°F或更低
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
98%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F或更高
<1%
72-73°F 98%
70-71°F 8%
68-69°F <1%
67°F或更低 <1%
$7,827 交易量
$7,827 交易量
2026-09-10
67°F或更低
$271 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$123 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$765 交易量
8%
72-73°F
$1,403 交易量
98%
74-75°F
$3,088 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$1,149 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$188 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$172 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$149 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$240 交易量
<1%
86°F或更高
$283 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for New York City, including Central Park observations and model guidance, indicate an overnight low near 70–72°F under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds, supporting the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for a 72–73°F minimum. This aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where urban heat retention and modest radiative cooling under weak high pressure limit further drops. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns with no incoming fronts or increased cloud cover expected to alter the trajectory. A realistic challenge could arise from localized variations in wind speed or unexpected clear-sky cooling exceeding current projections, though official updates through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$7,827结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for New York City, including Central Park observations and model guidance, indicate an overnight low near 70–72°F under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds, supporting the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for a 72–73°F minimum. This aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where urban heat retention and modest radiative cooling under weak high pressure limit further drops. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns with no incoming fronts or increased cloud cover expected to alter the trajectory. A realistic challenge could arise from localized variations in wind speed or unexpected clear-sky cooling exceeding current projections, though official updates through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,827结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for New York City, including Central Park observations and model guidance, indicate an overnight low near 70–72°F under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds, supporting the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for a 72–73°F minimum. This aligns with typical mid-September climatology for the region, where urban heat retention and modest radiative cooling under weak high pressure limit further drops. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns with no incoming fronts or increased cloud cover expected to alter the trajectory. A realistic challenge could arise from localized variations in wind speed or unexpected clear-sky cooling exceeding current projections, though official updates through the evening will refine the final recorded minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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