Official temperature observations from New York City stations on September 11, 2026, recorded a daily minimum of 72–73°F, directly aligning with the market’s dominant outcome and driving near-certain trader consensus. This value exceeded the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 63°F for the date, consistent with above-normal warmth persisting into mid-September amid a broader seasonal pattern. Hourly data showed the minimum occurring in the early morning hours before daytime highs reached the upper 70s to low 80s under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect verified post-event data rather than forecast uncertainty, though rare late revisions to official National Weather Service records or station-specific resolution criteria could theoretically shift results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日纽约市最低气温？
9月11日纽约市最低气温？
72-73°F 100.0%
61°F或以下 <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$7,604 交易量
$7,604 交易量
2026-09-11
61°F或以下
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
是
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80华氏度或更高
否
72-73°F 100.0%
61°F或以下 <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$7,604 交易量
$7,604 交易量
2026-09-11
61°F或以下
$263 交易量
否
62-63°F
$87 交易量
否
64-65°F
$335 交易量
否
66-67°F
$502 交易量
否
68-69°F
$1,011 交易量
否
70-71°F
$2,798 交易量
否
72-73°F
$1,289 交易量
是
74-75°F
$720 交易量
否
76-77°F
$370 交易量
否
78-79°F
$132 交易量
否
80华氏度或更高
$97 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from New York City stations on September 11, 2026, recorded a daily minimum of 72–73°F, directly aligning with the market’s dominant outcome and driving near-certain trader consensus. This value exceeded the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 63°F for the date, consistent with above-normal warmth persisting into mid-September amid a broader seasonal pattern. Hourly data showed the minimum occurring in the early morning hours before daytime highs reached the upper 70s to low 80s under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect verified post-event data rather than forecast uncertainty, though rare late revisions to official National Weather Service records or station-specific resolution criteria could theoretically shift results.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$7,604结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from New York City stations on September 11, 2026, recorded a daily minimum of 72–73°F, directly aligning with the market’s dominant outcome and driving near-certain trader consensus. This value exceeded the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 63°F for the date, consistent with above-normal warmth persisting into mid-September amid a broader seasonal pattern. Hourly data showed the minimum occurring in the early morning hours before daytime highs reached the upper 70s to low 80s under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect verified post-event data rather than forecast uncertainty, though rare late revisions to official National Weather Service records or station-specific resolution criteria could theoretically shift results.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,604结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official temperature observations from New York City stations on September 11, 2026, recorded a daily minimum of 72–73°F, directly aligning with the market’s dominant outcome and driving near-certain trader consensus. This value exceeded the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 63°F for the date, consistent with above-normal warmth persisting into mid-September amid a broader seasonal pattern. Hourly data showed the minimum occurring in the early morning hours before daytime highs reached the upper 70s to low 80s under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect verified post-event data rather than forecast uncertainty, though rare late revisions to official National Weather Service records or station-specific resolution criteria could theoretically shift results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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