Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models indicate Chicago's overnight low on September 10 will likely settle in the mid-60s°F under clearing skies and moderating northwesterly flow behind a departing cold front. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds near 49.5% for the 62-67°F bins, as surface observations show dew points falling into the 50s and minimal cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Historical climatology places the average low near 61°F, yet recent warmth and model spread introduce modest downside risk into the upper 50s, supporting the 49.5% on 57°F or below. Upcoming evening observations and updated model runs will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日芝加哥最低气温？
9月10日芝加哥最低气温？
62-63°F 50%
60-61°F 46%
66-67华氏度 26%
58-59°F 18%
$318 交易量
$318 交易量
2026-09-10
57华氏度或更低
-
58-59°F
18%
60-61°F
46%
62-63°F
50%
64-65°F
50%
66-67华氏度
26%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F或更高
<1%
62-63°F 50%
60-61°F 46%
66-67华氏度 26%
58-59°F 18%
$318 交易量
$318 交易量
2026-09-10
57华氏度或更低
$40 交易量
-
58-59°F
$20 交易量
18%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
46%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
50%
64-65°F
$60 交易量
50%
66-67华氏度
$10 交易量
26%
68-69°F
$45 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$98 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$5 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$20 交易量
<1%
76°F或更高
$20 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models indicate Chicago's overnight low on September 10 will likely settle in the mid-60s°F under clearing skies and moderating northwesterly flow behind a departing cold front. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds near 49.5% for the 62-67°F bins, as surface observations show dew points falling into the 50s and minimal cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Historical climatology places the average low near 61°F, yet recent warmth and model spread introduce modest downside risk into the upper 50s, supporting the 49.5% on 57°F or below. Upcoming evening observations and updated model runs will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$318结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models indicate Chicago's overnight low on September 10 will likely settle in the mid-60s°F under clearing skies and moderating northwesterly flow behind a departing cold front. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds near 49.5% for the 62-67°F bins, as surface observations show dew points falling into the 50s and minimal cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Historical climatology places the average low near 61°F, yet recent warmth and model spread introduce modest downside risk into the upper 50s, supporting the 49.5% on 57°F or below. Upcoming evening observations and updated model runs will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$318结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETCurrent forecasts from the National Weather Service and numerical models indicate Chicago's overnight low on September 10 will likely settle in the mid-60s°F under clearing skies and moderating northwesterly flow behind a departing cold front. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds near 49.5% for the 62-67°F bins, as surface observations show dew points falling into the 50s and minimal cloud cover limiting radiational cooling. Historical climatology places the average low near 61°F, yet recent warmth and model spread introduce modest downside risk into the upper 50s, supporting the 49.5% on 57°F or below. Upcoming evening observations and updated model runs will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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