Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the GFS and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature of 19°C in Amsterdam on September 10, driven by southwest flow under mostly cloudy skies following overnight clearing. Light winds and limited diurnal heating from persistent cloud cover are expected to cap afternoon readings near this level, aligning closely with the late-summer climatological average high of approximately 19.7°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 19°C at 67.5 percent, with 20°C as a secondary possibility at 25 percent if breaks in cloud allow slightly greater insolation. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the final key data point before official observations determine the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月10日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
9月10日阿姆斯特丹气温最高？
19°C 68%
20°C 26%
18°C 8%
21°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
8%
19°C
68%
20°C
26%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
19°C 68%
20°C 26%
18°C 8%
21°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-10
14°C或以下
$398 交易量
<1%
15°C
$267 交易量
<1%
16°C
$50 交易量
<1%
17°C
$601 交易量
1%
18°C
$1,009 交易量
8%
19°C
$3,023 交易量
68%
20°C
$2,417 交易量
26%
21°C
$713 交易量
2%
22°C
$35 交易量
1%
23°C
$274 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$525 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the GFS and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature of 19°C in Amsterdam on September 10, driven by southwest flow under mostly cloudy skies following overnight clearing. Light winds and limited diurnal heating from persistent cloud cover are expected to cap afternoon readings near this level, aligning closely with the late-summer climatological average high of approximately 19.7°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 19°C at 67.5 percent, with 20°C as a secondary possibility at 25 percent if breaks in cloud allow slightly greater insolation. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the final key data point before official observations determine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$9,311结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the GFS and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature of 19°C in Amsterdam on September 10, driven by southwest flow under mostly cloudy skies following overnight clearing. Light winds and limited diurnal heating from persistent cloud cover are expected to cap afternoon readings near this level, aligning closely with the late-summer climatological average high of approximately 19.7°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 19°C at 67.5 percent, with 20°C as a secondary possibility at 25 percent if breaks in cloud allow slightly greater insolation. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the final key data point before official observations determine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,311结束日期
2026-09-10市场开放时间
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from sources including the GFS and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature of 19°C in Amsterdam on September 10, driven by southwest flow under mostly cloudy skies following overnight clearing. Light winds and limited diurnal heating from persistent cloud cover are expected to cap afternoon readings near this level, aligning closely with the late-summer climatological average high of approximately 19.7°C. Market-implied odds heavily favor 19°C at 67.5 percent, with 20°C as a secondary possibility at 25 percent if breaks in cloud allow slightly greater insolation. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the final key data point before official observations determine the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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