Forecast models and official meteorological guidance point to a Shenzhen high near 32°C on September 9, driven by typical early-September subtropical conditions with light easterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating under partial cloud cover. Recent observations show daily maxima of 32–34°C amid scattered showers, with the latest runs indicating possible afternoon rain that could cap the peak slightly below recent values while keeping it above the September climatological average of roughly 31°C. This data supports the market’s concentration of probability in the 31–33°C outcomes, as traders weigh model consensus against the inherent uncertainty in localized convective activity and exact timing of any precipitation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日深圳气温最高？
9月9日深圳气温最高？
32°C 37%
33°C 27%
31°C 20%
34°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
27℃或以下
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
20%
32°C
37%
33°C
27%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36℃
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
32°C 37%
33°C 27%
31°C 20%
34°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
27℃或以下
$423 交易量
<1%
28°C
$384 交易量
3%
29°C
$173 交易量
3%
30°C
$505 交易量
6%
31°C
$2,302 交易量
20%
32°C
$648 交易量
37%
33°C
$480 交易量
27%
34°C
$174 交易量
7%
35°C
$558 交易量
1%
36℃
$515 交易量
<1%
37°C或更高
$1,565 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and official meteorological guidance point to a Shenzhen high near 32°C on September 9, driven by typical early-September subtropical conditions with light easterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating under partial cloud cover. Recent observations show daily maxima of 32–34°C amid scattered showers, with the latest runs indicating possible afternoon rain that could cap the peak slightly below recent values while keeping it above the September climatological average of roughly 31°C. This data supports the market’s concentration of probability in the 31–33°C outcomes, as traders weigh model consensus against the inherent uncertainty in localized convective activity and exact timing of any precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$7,727结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and official meteorological guidance point to a Shenzhen high near 32°C on September 9, driven by typical early-September subtropical conditions with light easterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating under partial cloud cover. Recent observations show daily maxima of 32–34°C amid scattered showers, with the latest runs indicating possible afternoon rain that could cap the peak slightly below recent values while keeping it above the September climatological average of roughly 31°C. This data supports the market’s concentration of probability in the 31–33°C outcomes, as traders weigh model consensus against the inherent uncertainty in localized convective activity and exact timing of any precipitation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,727结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models and official meteorological guidance point to a Shenzhen high near 32°C on September 9, driven by typical early-September subtropical conditions with light easterly flow, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating under partial cloud cover. Recent observations show daily maxima of 32–34°C amid scattered showers, with the latest runs indicating possible afternoon rain that could cap the peak slightly below recent values while keeping it above the September climatological average of roughly 31°C. This data supports the market’s concentration of probability in the 31–33°C outcomes, as traders weigh model consensus against the inherent uncertainty in localized convective activity and exact timing of any precipitation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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