Trader consensus has coalesced on a 31°C high for Taipei on September 9 because Central Weather Administration forecasts explicitly project a daytime maximum of 31°C under partly cloudy skies with brief showers and easterly winds. Recent model consensus and observational trends align with this threshold, consistent with typical early-September maxima near 30–31°C amid humid subtropical conditions. The near-100% implied probability reflects strong alignment between official guidance and real-time data, with limited divergence across ensemble runs. Only unexpected shifts in steering patterns or measurement discrepancies at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before final reporting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日台北气温最高？
9月9日台北气温最高？
31°C 100.0%
25℃或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$39,526 交易量
$39,526 交易量
2026-09-09
25℃或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或以上
否
31°C 100.0%
25℃或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$39,526 交易量
$39,526 交易量
2026-09-09
25℃或以下
$940 交易量
否
26°C
$2,460 交易量
否
27°C
$2,004 交易量
否
28°C
$1,422 交易量
否
29°C
$3,296 交易量
否
30°C
$6,663 交易量
否
31°C
$9,481 交易量
是
32°C
$7,484 交易量
否
33°C
$2,902 交易量
否
34°C
$2,265 交易量
否
35°C或以上
$608 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced on a 31°C high for Taipei on September 9 because Central Weather Administration forecasts explicitly project a daytime maximum of 31°C under partly cloudy skies with brief showers and easterly winds. Recent model consensus and observational trends align with this threshold, consistent with typical early-September maxima near 30–31°C amid humid subtropical conditions. The near-100% implied probability reflects strong alignment between official guidance and real-time data, with limited divergence across ensemble runs. Only unexpected shifts in steering patterns or measurement discrepancies at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before final reporting.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$39,526结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced on a 31°C high for Taipei on September 9 because Central Weather Administration forecasts explicitly project a daytime maximum of 31°C under partly cloudy skies with brief showers and easterly winds. Recent model consensus and observational trends align with this threshold, consistent with typical early-September maxima near 30–31°C amid humid subtropical conditions. The near-100% implied probability reflects strong alignment between official guidance and real-time data, with limited divergence across ensemble runs. Only unexpected shifts in steering patterns or measurement discrepancies at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before final reporting.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$39,526结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus has coalesced on a 31°C high for Taipei on September 9 because Central Weather Administration forecasts explicitly project a daytime maximum of 31°C under partly cloudy skies with brief showers and easterly winds. Recent model consensus and observational trends align with this threshold, consistent with typical early-September maxima near 30–31°C amid humid subtropical conditions. The near-100% implied probability reflects strong alignment between official guidance and real-time data, with limited divergence across ensemble runs. Only unexpected shifts in steering patterns or measurement discrepancies at official stations could realistically alter the outcome before final reporting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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