Recent passage of a cold front has brought rainfall and northerly flow to Beijing, sharply lowering temperatures on September 8 before high pressure builds and skies clear for September 9. Official forecasts indicate a high near 25–26 °C under light winds and drier air masses, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. This remains several degrees below early-September climatological averages near 27–28 °C, reflecting the lingering influence of the frontal system rather than typical warm-season advection. Updated model runs and local observations through the next 48 hours will determine whether modest warming pushes readings toward 27 °C or keeps the peak capped at 25–26 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日北京气温最高?
26°C 52%
25°C 21%
27°C 20%
24°C 5%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
21%
26°C
52%
27°C
20%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C或更高
<1%
26°C 52%
25°C 21%
27°C 20%
24°C 5%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
21%
26°C
52%
27°C
20%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent passage of a cold front has brought rainfall and northerly flow to Beijing, sharply lowering temperatures on September 8 before high pressure builds and skies clear for September 9. Official forecasts indicate a high near 25–26 °C under light winds and drier air masses, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on those outcomes. This remains several degrees below early-September climatological averages near 27–28 °C, reflecting the lingering influence of the frontal system rather than typical warm-season advection. Updated model runs and local observations through the next 48 hours will determine whether modest warming pushes readings toward 27 °C or keeps the peak capped at 25–26 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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