Clear skies and light northwest winds overnight are driving model consensus toward a Seoul/Incheon minimum of 15–17 °C on September 15. Recent high-resolution runs from regional and global ensembles show strong radiative cooling under stable high pressure, with dew points near 12–14 °C limiting further drops. Historical mid-September climatology for the area centers around 16 °C, and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture keeps the distribution narrow. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or cloud timing could shift the recorded low by 1 °C, while the next official Korea Meteorological Administration update and final observational data will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
9月15日首尔（仁川）气温最低？
17°C 45%
16°C 28%
18°C 17%
15°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
13%
16°C
28%
17°C
45%
18°C
17%
19°C
5%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
1%
17°C 45%
16°C 28%
18°C 17%
15°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
12°C或以下
$105 交易量
<1%
13°C
$130 交易量
<1%
14°C
$138 交易量
5%
15°C
$249 交易量
13%
16°C
$801 交易量
28%
17°C
$1,016 交易量
45%
18°C
$241 交易量
17%
19°C
$226 交易量
5%
20°C
$200 交易量
3%
21°C
$130 交易量
<1%
22°C或更高
$98 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northwest winds overnight are driving model consensus toward a Seoul/Incheon minimum of 15–17 °C on September 15. Recent high-resolution runs from regional and global ensembles show strong radiative cooling under stable high pressure, with dew points near 12–14 °C limiting further drops. Historical mid-September climatology for the area centers around 16 °C, and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture keeps the distribution narrow. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or cloud timing could shift the recorded low by 1 °C, while the next official Korea Meteorological Administration update and final observational data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$3,335结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northwest winds overnight are driving model consensus toward a Seoul/Incheon minimum of 15–17 °C on September 15. Recent high-resolution runs from regional and global ensembles show strong radiative cooling under stable high pressure, with dew points near 12–14 °C limiting further drops. Historical mid-September climatology for the area centers around 16 °C, and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture keeps the distribution narrow. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or cloud timing could shift the recorded low by 1 °C, while the next official Korea Meteorological Administration update and final observational data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,335结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETClear skies and light northwest winds overnight are driving model consensus toward a Seoul/Incheon minimum of 15–17 °C on September 15. Recent high-resolution runs from regional and global ensembles show strong radiative cooling under stable high pressure, with dew points near 12–14 °C limiting further drops. Historical mid-September climatology for the area centers around 16 °C, and the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture keeps the distribution narrow. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or cloud timing could shift the recorded low by 1 °C, while the next official Korea Meteorological Administration update and final observational data will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题