Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show strong consensus for a mostly sunny day in Paris on September 15 with southwesterly flow and warm advection supporting a daily maximum near 32°C. This aligns with the market's leading 48.5% implied probability for 32°C, followed by 31°C and 33°C outcomes. Low precipitation chances and moderate humidity under building high pressure favor efficient daytime heating, though minor model spread in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty between 31–33°C. Historical September averages near 22°C underscore the anomalous warmth, and the next high-resolution model runs plus official Météo-France guidance will likely refine resolution odds ahead of market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日巴黎气温最高？
9月15日巴黎气温最高？
32°C 49%
31°C 24%
33°C 21%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
24%
32°C
49%
33°C
21%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C或更高
2%
32°C 49%
31°C 24%
33°C 21%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
26°C或以下
$5 交易量
1%
27°C
$10 交易量
1%
28°C
$25 交易量
2%
29°C
$122 交易量
3%
30°C
$359 交易量
7%
31°C
$1,021 交易量
24%
32°C
$1,878 交易量
49%
33°C
$612 交易量
21%
34°C
$699 交易量
4%
35°C
$10 交易量
2%
36°C或更高
$10 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show strong consensus for a mostly sunny day in Paris on September 15 with southwesterly flow and warm advection supporting a daily maximum near 32°C. This aligns with the market's leading 48.5% implied probability for 32°C, followed by 31°C and 33°C outcomes. Low precipitation chances and moderate humidity under building high pressure favor efficient daytime heating, though minor model spread in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty between 31–33°C. Historical September averages near 22°C underscore the anomalous warmth, and the next high-resolution model runs plus official Météo-France guidance will likely refine resolution odds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
交易量
$4,751结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show strong consensus for a mostly sunny day in Paris on September 15 with southwesterly flow and warm advection supporting a daily maximum near 32°C. This aligns with the market's leading 48.5% implied probability for 32°C, followed by 31°C and 33°C outcomes. Low precipitation chances and moderate humidity under building high pressure favor efficient daytime heating, though minor model spread in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty between 31–33°C. Historical September averages near 22°C underscore the anomalous warmth, and the next high-resolution model runs plus official Météo-France guidance will likely refine resolution odds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,751结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:55 PM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models show strong consensus for a mostly sunny day in Paris on September 15 with southwesterly flow and warm advection supporting a daily maximum near 32°C. This aligns with the market's leading 48.5% implied probability for 32°C, followed by 31°C and 33°C outcomes. Low precipitation chances and moderate humidity under building high pressure favor efficient daytime heating, though minor model spread in exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty between 31–33°C. Historical September averages near 22°C underscore the anomalous warmth, and the next high-resolution model runs plus official Météo-France guidance will likely refine resolution odds ahead of market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题