**Trader consensus at 100% on 29°C for Taipei’s September 15 daily maximum reflects convergent forecast guidance from regional models and historical climatology for mid-September.** Official monitoring shows partly cloudy conditions with northeasterly flow, high humidity near 75–85%, and daytime peaks aligning with the 28–29°C range under typical late-summer steering patterns. Ensemble runs and station observations support this narrow band rather than deviation into cooler or warmer thresholds. A realistic shift could occur if persistent rain bands or thicker cloud cover suppress insolation enough to cap the high below 29°C, or if clearer skies and reduced moisture allow a brief spike above it—though current model consensus and the day’s advanced stage make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日台北气温最高?
29°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$35,882 交易量
$35,882 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或更高
否
29°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$35,882 交易量
$35,882 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或更高
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Trader consensus at 100% on 29°C for Taipei’s September 15 daily maximum reflects convergent forecast guidance from regional models and historical climatology for mid-September.** Official monitoring shows partly cloudy conditions with northeasterly flow, high humidity near 75–85%, and daytime peaks aligning with the 28–29°C range under typical late-summer steering patterns. Ensemble runs and station observations support this narrow band rather than deviation into cooler or warmer thresholds. A realistic shift could occur if persistent rain bands or thicker cloud cover suppress insolation enough to cap the high below 29°C, or if clearer skies and reduced moisture allow a brief spike above it—though current model consensus and the day’s advanced stage make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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