Current numerical weather prediction models indicate a high near 28°C for Shanghai on September 15, driven by northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure with no active typhoons or strong frontal systems. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 60.5% implied probability for 28°C and secondary support for 29°C, consistent with typical mid-September climatology of 27–29°C highs amid seasonal cooling from peak summer warmth. Recent observations show similar conditions prevailing, with limited model spread reducing uncertainty around the most probable outcomes. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide final refinements before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日上海气温最高？
9月15日上海气温最高？
28°C 62%
29°C 21%
27°C 14%
25°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
24°C或以下
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
4%
27°C
14%
28°C
62%
29°C
21%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C或更高
1%
28°C 62%
29°C 21%
27°C 14%
25°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
24°C或以下
$10 交易量
4%
25°C
$70 交易量
6%
26°C
$98 交易量
4%
27°C
$419 交易量
14%
28°C
$691 交易量
62%
29°C
$563 交易量
21%
30°C
$93 交易量
4%
31°C
$10 交易量
3%
32°C
$10 交易量
5%
33°C
$10 交易量
2%
34°C或更高
$50 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models indicate a high near 28°C for Shanghai on September 15, driven by northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure with no active typhoons or strong frontal systems. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 60.5% implied probability for 28°C and secondary support for 29°C, consistent with typical mid-September climatology of 27–29°C highs amid seasonal cooling from peak summer warmth. Recent observations show similar conditions prevailing, with limited model spread reducing uncertainty around the most probable outcomes. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide final refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
交易量
$2,023结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models indicate a high near 28°C for Shanghai on September 15, driven by northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure with no active typhoons or strong frontal systems. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 60.5% implied probability for 28°C and secondary support for 29°C, consistent with typical mid-September climatology of 27–29°C highs amid seasonal cooling from peak summer warmth. Recent observations show similar conditions prevailing, with limited model spread reducing uncertainty around the most probable outcomes. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide final refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,023结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction models indicate a high near 28°C for Shanghai on September 15, driven by northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and stable high pressure with no active typhoons or strong frontal systems. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 60.5% implied probability for 28°C and secondary support for 29°C, consistent with typical mid-September climatology of 27–29°C highs amid seasonal cooling from peak summer warmth. Recent observations show similar conditions prevailing, with limited model spread reducing uncertainty around the most probable outcomes. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will provide final refinements before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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