Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai will see a minimum temperature of 24°C on September 15 under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, consistent with late-summer norms where average September lows range 21–23°C. This positioning reflects stable high-pressure influence suppressing stronger cooling, with observed daytime highs near 29–30°C and dew points supporting limited overnight temperature drops. Trader consensus aligns with official guidance projecting this threshold, as deviations would require atypical radiative cooling or unforecasted frontal passages. Resolution hinges on official station readings, which could shift if boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns differ from ensemble means.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日上海最低气温?
24°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$17,038 交易量
$17,038 交易量
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或更高
否
24°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$17,038 交易量
$17,038 交易量
18°C或以下
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai will see a minimum temperature of 24°C on September 15 under partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds, consistent with late-summer norms where average September lows range 21–23°C. This positioning reflects stable high-pressure influence suppressing stronger cooling, with observed daytime highs near 29–30°C and dew points supporting limited overnight temperature drops. Trader consensus aligns with official guidance projecting this threshold, as deviations would require atypical radiative cooling or unforecasted frontal passages. Resolution hinges on official station readings, which could shift if boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns differ from ensemble means.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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