Forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional analyses point to Shanghai's September 17 minimum temperature falling in the 22–23°C range, with trader consensus split between these outcomes due to subtle differences in predicted overnight radiative cooling and cloud cover. Light rain or overcast skies expected overnight, combined with easterly winds under 6 m/s and high humidity near 65–70%, should limit temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, while dew points around 16–19°C support a floor near 22°C. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on exact cloud thickness and timing of any showers, creating the narrow 36.5%–33.5% edge between 23°C and 22°C. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies ahead of the overnight period could refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日上海最低气温？
9月17日上海最低气温？
23°C 42%
22°C 39%
20°C 14%
21°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
14%
21°C
11%
22°C
39%
23°C
42%
24°C
8%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C或更高
1%
23°C 42%
22°C 39%
20°C 14%
21°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
17°C或以下
$89 交易量
<1%
18°C
$17 交易量
<1%
19°C
$0 交易量
2%
20°C
$0 交易量
14%
21°C
$162 交易量
11%
22°C
$134 交易量
39%
23°C
$749 交易量
42%
24°C
$743 交易量
8%
25°C
$0 交易量
2%
26°C
$64 交易量
1%
27°C或更高
$64 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional analyses point to Shanghai's September 17 minimum temperature falling in the 22–23°C range, with trader consensus split between these outcomes due to subtle differences in predicted overnight radiative cooling and cloud cover. Light rain or overcast skies expected overnight, combined with easterly winds under 6 m/s and high humidity near 65–70%, should limit temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, while dew points around 16–19°C support a floor near 22°C. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on exact cloud thickness and timing of any showers, creating the narrow 36.5%–33.5% edge between 23°C and 22°C. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies ahead of the overnight period could refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,021结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional analyses point to Shanghai's September 17 minimum temperature falling in the 22–23°C range, with trader consensus split between these outcomes due to subtle differences in predicted overnight radiative cooling and cloud cover. Light rain or overcast skies expected overnight, combined with easterly winds under 6 m/s and high humidity near 65–70%, should limit temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, while dew points around 16–19°C support a floor near 22°C. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on exact cloud thickness and timing of any showers, creating the narrow 36.5%–33.5% edge between 23°C and 22°C. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies ahead of the overnight period could refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,021结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETForecast models from sources like the GFS and regional analyses point to Shanghai's September 17 minimum temperature falling in the 22–23°C range, with trader consensus split between these outcomes due to subtle differences in predicted overnight radiative cooling and cloud cover. Light rain or overcast skies expected overnight, combined with easterly winds under 6 m/s and high humidity near 65–70%, should limit temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, while dew points around 16–19°C support a floor near 22°C. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on exact cloud thickness and timing of any showers, creating the narrow 36.5%–33.5% edge between 23°C and 22°C. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies ahead of the overnight period could refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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