Latest forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and global models show a minimum temperature near 24°C on September 18, supported by northeasterly winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limits overnight radiative cooling. This positions the 24°C outcome as the market leader at 40% implied probability. Historical September minima in Shanghai average 21–24°C, with recent days holding lows around 23°C amid similar patterns. Model consensus remains tight on the daily range of 24–30°C, though slight variations in rain timing or wind strength could shift the exact low by 1°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine trader positioning on nearby thresholds like 23°C or 25°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月18日上海最低气温？
9月18日上海最低气温？
19°C或以下 45%
25°C 39%
24°C 29%
22°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
19°C或以下
45%
20°C
20%
21°C
22%
22°C
27%
23°C
22%
24°C
40%
25°C
39%
26°C
27%
27°C
22%
28°C
20%
29°C或更高
25%
19°C或以下 45%
25°C 39%
24°C 29%
22°C 27%
最新
最新
2026-09-18
19°C或以下
$0 交易量
45%
20°C
$0 交易量
20%
21°C
$0 交易量
22%
22°C
$0 交易量
27%
23°C
$83 交易量
22%
24°C
$241 交易量
40%
25°C
$0 交易量
39%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
22%
28°C
$0 交易量
20%
29°C或更高
$0 交易量
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and global models show a minimum temperature near 24°C on September 18, supported by northeasterly winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limits overnight radiative cooling. This positions the 24°C outcome as the market leader at 40% implied probability. Historical September minima in Shanghai average 21–24°C, with recent days holding lows around 23°C amid similar patterns. Model consensus remains tight on the daily range of 24–30°C, though slight variations in rain timing or wind strength could shift the exact low by 1°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine trader positioning on nearby thresholds like 23°C or 25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$324结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and global models show a minimum temperature near 24°C on September 18, supported by northeasterly winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limits overnight radiative cooling. This positions the 24°C outcome as the market leader at 40% implied probability. Historical September minima in Shanghai average 21–24°C, with recent days holding lows around 23°C amid similar patterns. Model consensus remains tight on the daily range of 24–30°C, though slight variations in rain timing or wind strength could shift the exact low by 1°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine trader positioning on nearby thresholds like 23°C or 25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$324结束日期
2026-09-18市场开放时间
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETLatest forecasts from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and global models show a minimum temperature near 24°C on September 18, supported by northeasterly winds, persistent cloud cover, and light rain that limits overnight radiative cooling. This positions the 24°C outcome as the market leader at 40% implied probability. Historical September minima in Shanghai average 21–24°C, with recent days holding lows around 23°C amid similar patterns. Model consensus remains tight on the daily range of 24–30°C, though slight variations in rain timing or wind strength could shift the exact low by 1°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will refine trader positioning on nearby thresholds like 23°C or 25°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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