Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models indicate scattered thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover over Denver through September 16–17, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s. Persistent warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, combined with dew points near 50–55°F and light variable winds, reduces the potential for sharp temperature drops, while historical September climatology shows average lows near 49°F but recent days running several degrees above normal. Model spread in timing and coverage of convection creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 60–65°F bins, with any clearer skies or stronger winds overnight representing the key variables that could shift the minimum into adjacent ranges before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日丹佛最低温度?
60-61°F 40%
64-65华氏度 39%
62-63°F 28%
58-59°F 19%
53华氏度或以下
5%
54-55°F
7%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
40%
62-63°F
28%
64-65华氏度
39%
66-67°F
18%
68-69华氏度
10%
70-71°F
6%
72°F或更高
4%
60-61°F 40%
64-65华氏度 39%
62-63°F 28%
58-59°F 19%
53华氏度或以下
5%
54-55°F
7%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
40%
62-63°F
28%
64-65华氏度
39%
66-67°F
18%
68-69华氏度
10%
70-71°F
6%
72°F或更高
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 15, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and local models indicate scattered thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover over Denver through September 16–17, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s. Persistent warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, combined with dew points near 50–55°F and light variable winds, reduces the potential for sharp temperature drops, while historical September climatology shows average lows near 49°F but recent days running several degrees above normal. Model spread in timing and coverage of convection creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 60–65°F bins, with any clearer skies or stronger winds overnight representing the key variables that could shift the minimum into adjacent ranges before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题