**Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and national agencies point to a minimum temperature near 18°C in Milan on September 17, 2026, as the dominant driver of trader positioning.** Unstable atmospheric conditions with scattered thunderstorms and substantial rainfall (often 10–27 mm) are expected to moderate overnight cooling through cloud cover and moisture, keeping lows in the 17–19°C range rather than allowing clearer skies to produce sharper drops. Daytime highs around 24°C provide context for the diurnal range, but resolution hinges on the precise overnight minimum. Model consensus supports this central band, yet spreads in precipitation timing and intensity create the observed market dispersion across nearby outcomes like 17°C or 19°C. Historical September baselines for Milan average lows near 14–16°C, making the current warmer pattern notable but still within seasonal variability. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final 24 hours before resolution will likely refine these probabilities further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日米兰最低气温？
9月17日米兰最低气温？
23°C或更高 77%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
18°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
13°C或以下
26%
14°C
9%
15°C
21%
16°C
23%
17°C
27%
18°C
35%
19°C
22%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
17%
23°C或更高
77%
23°C或更高 77%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
18°C 35%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
13°C或以下
$44 交易量
26%
14°C
$0 交易量
9%
15°C
$0 交易量
21%
16°C
$0 交易量
23%
17°C
$0 交易量
27%
18°C
$0 交易量
35%
19°C
$0 交易量
22%
20°C
$0 交易量
39%
21°C
$0 交易量
39%
22°C
$0 交易量
17%
23°C或更高
$0 交易量
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and national agencies point to a minimum temperature near 18°C in Milan on September 17, 2026, as the dominant driver of trader positioning.** Unstable atmospheric conditions with scattered thunderstorms and substantial rainfall (often 10–27 mm) are expected to moderate overnight cooling through cloud cover and moisture, keeping lows in the 17–19°C range rather than allowing clearer skies to produce sharper drops. Daytime highs around 24°C provide context for the diurnal range, but resolution hinges on the precise overnight minimum. Model consensus supports this central band, yet spreads in precipitation timing and intensity create the observed market dispersion across nearby outcomes like 17°C or 19°C. Historical September baselines for Milan average lows near 14–16°C, making the current warmer pattern notable but still within seasonal variability. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final 24 hours before resolution will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$44结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and national agencies point to a minimum temperature near 18°C in Milan on September 17, 2026, as the dominant driver of trader positioning.** Unstable atmospheric conditions with scattered thunderstorms and substantial rainfall (often 10–27 mm) are expected to moderate overnight cooling through cloud cover and moisture, keeping lows in the 17–19°C range rather than allowing clearer skies to produce sharper drops. Daytime highs around 24°C provide context for the diurnal range, but resolution hinges on the precise overnight minimum. Model consensus supports this central band, yet spreads in precipitation timing and intensity create the observed market dispersion across nearby outcomes like 17°C or 19°C. Historical September baselines for Milan average lows near 14–16°C, making the current warmer pattern notable but still within seasonal variability. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final 24 hours before resolution will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$44结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast models from sources including ECMWF and national agencies point to a minimum temperature near 18°C in Milan on September 17, 2026, as the dominant driver of trader positioning.** Unstable atmospheric conditions with scattered thunderstorms and substantial rainfall (often 10–27 mm) are expected to moderate overnight cooling through cloud cover and moisture, keeping lows in the 17–19°C range rather than allowing clearer skies to produce sharper drops. Daytime highs around 24°C provide context for the diurnal range, but resolution hinges on the precise overnight minimum. Model consensus supports this central band, yet spreads in precipitation timing and intensity create the observed market dispersion across nearby outcomes like 17°C or 19°C. Historical September baselines for Milan average lows near 14–16°C, making the current warmer pattern notable but still within seasonal variability. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final 24 hours before resolution will likely refine these probabilities further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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