Current forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum of 15°C in Milan on September 19 as the dominant outcome, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure typical of the Po Valley in mid-September. Official guidance shows nighttime temperatures settling near 17–19°C before dawn, with historical September lows averaging around 16°C providing climatological support for this narrow range. Trader positioning at 100% for 15°C reflects convergence across ECMWF and local station data, while the minimal odds on 13°C or below acknowledge residual uncertainty in exact station readings or brief cloud increases that could limit cooling by 1–2°C. Fresh model runs or official minimum reports could still adjust the final recorded value.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月19日米兰最低气温？
9月19日米兰最低气温？
14°C 94%
12°C 18%
11°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
$5,261 交易量
$5,261 交易量
2026-09-19
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
是
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或更高
否
14°C 94%
12°C 18%
11°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
$5,261 交易量
$5,261 交易量
2026-09-19
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
12°C
$0 交易量
否
13°C
$0 交易量
否
14°C
$25 交易量
否
15°C
$149 交易量
是
16°C
$113 交易量
否
17°C
$1,409 交易量
否
18°C
$1,684 交易量
否
19°C
$1,807 交易量
否
20°C
$37 交易量
否
21°C或更高
$37 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum of 15°C in Milan on September 19 as the dominant outcome, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure typical of the Po Valley in mid-September. Official guidance shows nighttime temperatures settling near 17–19°C before dawn, with historical September lows averaging around 16°C providing climatological support for this narrow range. Trader positioning at 100% for 15°C reflects convergence across ECMWF and local station data, while the minimal odds on 13°C or below acknowledge residual uncertainty in exact station readings or brief cloud increases that could limit cooling by 1–2°C. Fresh model runs or official minimum reports could still adjust the final recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$5,261结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum of 15°C in Milan on September 19 as the dominant outcome, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure typical of the Po Valley in mid-September. Official guidance shows nighttime temperatures settling near 17–19°C before dawn, with historical September lows averaging around 16°C providing climatological support for this narrow range. Trader positioning at 100% for 15°C reflects convergence across ECMWF and local station data, while the minimal odds on 13°C or below acknowledge residual uncertainty in exact station readings or brief cloud increases that could limit cooling by 1–2°C. Fresh model runs or official minimum reports could still adjust the final recorded value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,261结束日期
2026-09-19市场开放时间
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Current forecast consensus from regional models points to a minimum of 15°C in Milan on September 19 as the dominant outcome, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and overnight radiative cooling under stable high pressure typical of the Po Valley in mid-September. Official guidance shows nighttime temperatures settling near 17–19°C before dawn, with historical September lows averaging around 16°C providing climatological support for this narrow range. Trader positioning at 100% for 15°C reflects convergence across ECMWF and local station data, while the minimal odds on 13°C or below acknowledge residual uncertainty in exact station readings or brief cloud increases that could limit cooling by 1–2°C. Fresh model runs or official minimum reports could still adjust the final recorded value.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题