Current forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models points to a mild overnight low near 17°C for Milan on September 21, driven by stable high pressure and limited cold-air advection under southerly or light northerly flow. This places the outcome near the 16–18°C range amid trader splits between ≤10°C (49.5%) and ≥20°C (48.5%), reflecting model spread on nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing under partly cloudy skies with dew points around 16–18°C. Historical September lows average near 15°C, but persistent warmth from recent days and absent frontal passages support the warmer baseline. Traders await the next model runs and official observations for resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日米兰最低气温?
10℃或以下 99%
20°C或更高 97%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
10℃或以下
99%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C或更高
97%
10℃或以下 99%
20°C或更高 97%
11°C 40%
12°C 40%
10℃或以下
99%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
40%
19°C
40%
20°C或更高
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models points to a mild overnight low near 17°C for Milan on September 21, driven by stable high pressure and limited cold-air advection under southerly or light northerly flow. This places the outcome near the 16–18°C range amid trader splits between ≤10°C (49.5%) and ≥20°C (48.5%), reflecting model spread on nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing under partly cloudy skies with dew points around 16–18°C. Historical September lows average near 15°C, but persistent warmth from recent days and absent frontal passages support the warmer baseline. Traders await the next model runs and official observations for resolution criteria tied to the daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题