Latest ensemble and deterministic runs from GFS and related models indicate a minimum near 12°C for Paris on September 22 under clear, high-pressure conditions with light northeast winds promoting modest radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus favoring 10–11°C (combined ~74.5% implied probability) likely incorporates minor model spread, urban measurement nuances at official stations, and historical September lows averaging 11°C. Stable anticyclonic flow with no incoming fronts supports dry, mild nights, though small forecast revisions in the final 48 hours could shift the exact threshold. Météo-France and updated model guidance expected before resolution will clarify whether readings dip toward 9–10°C or hold near the current central estimate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日巴黎最低气温？
9月22日巴黎最低气温？
10°C 40%
9°C 31%
7°C或以下 27%
11°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
7°C或以下
27%
8°C
2%
9°C
31%
10°C
40%
11°C
26%
12°C
17%
13°C
17%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C或更高
2%
10°C 40%
9°C 31%
7°C或以下 27%
11°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
27%
8°C
$0 交易量
2%
9°C
$170 交易量
31%
10°C
$667 交易量
40%
11°C
$430 交易量
26%
12°C
$0 交易量
17%
13°C
$0 交易量
17%
14°C
$0 交易量
2%
15°C
$0 交易量
2%
16°C
$0 交易量
2%
17°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble and deterministic runs from GFS and related models indicate a minimum near 12°C for Paris on September 22 under clear, high-pressure conditions with light northeast winds promoting modest radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus favoring 10–11°C (combined ~74.5% implied probability) likely incorporates minor model spread, urban measurement nuances at official stations, and historical September lows averaging 11°C. Stable anticyclonic flow with no incoming fronts supports dry, mild nights, though small forecast revisions in the final 48 hours could shift the exact threshold. Météo-France and updated model guidance expected before resolution will clarify whether readings dip toward 9–10°C or hold near the current central estimate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,267结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble and deterministic runs from GFS and related models indicate a minimum near 12°C for Paris on September 22 under clear, high-pressure conditions with light northeast winds promoting modest radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus favoring 10–11°C (combined ~74.5% implied probability) likely incorporates minor model spread, urban measurement nuances at official stations, and historical September lows averaging 11°C. Stable anticyclonic flow with no incoming fronts supports dry, mild nights, though small forecast revisions in the final 48 hours could shift the exact threshold. Météo-France and updated model guidance expected before resolution will clarify whether readings dip toward 9–10°C or hold near the current central estimate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,267结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETLatest ensemble and deterministic runs from GFS and related models indicate a minimum near 12°C for Paris on September 22 under clear, high-pressure conditions with light northeast winds promoting modest radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus favoring 10–11°C (combined ~74.5% implied probability) likely incorporates minor model spread, urban measurement nuances at official stations, and historical September lows averaging 11°C. Stable anticyclonic flow with no incoming fronts supports dry, mild nights, though small forecast revisions in the final 48 hours could shift the exact threshold. Météo-France and updated model guidance expected before resolution will clarify whether readings dip toward 9–10°C or hold near the current central estimate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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