Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern France will deliver clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds overnight into September 21, favoring radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 11–12 °C in central Paris. This aligns with the climatological average low of 11 °C for the date and recent observations of 12–13 °C lows under similar anticyclonic conditions. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 10 °C and 11 °C because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C, while the 26.5 % chance attached to 9 °C or below reflects the tail risk if clearer skies and drier air enhance cooling beyond current model consensus. No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to moderate temperatures before dawn.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日巴黎最低气温？
9月21日巴黎最低气温？
10°C 39%
11°C 32%
9°C或以下 29%
12°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
9°C或以下
29%
10°C
39%
11°C
32%
12°C
8%
13°C
3%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C或更高
1%
10°C 39%
11°C 32%
9°C或以下 29%
12°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
9°C或以下
$410 交易量
29%
10°C
$437 交易量
39%
11°C
$844 交易量
32%
12°C
$20 交易量
8%
13°C
$20 交易量
3%
14°C
$0 交易量
3%
15°C
$0 交易量
1%
16°C
$0 交易量
1%
17°C
$0 交易量
1%
18°C
$0 交易量
1%
19°C或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern France will deliver clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds overnight into September 21, favoring radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 11–12 °C in central Paris. This aligns with the climatological average low of 11 °C for the date and recent observations of 12–13 °C lows under similar anticyclonic conditions. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 10 °C and 11 °C because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C, while the 26.5 % chance attached to 9 °C or below reflects the tail risk if clearer skies and drier air enhance cooling beyond current model consensus. No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to moderate temperatures before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,736结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern France will deliver clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds overnight into September 21, favoring radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 11–12 °C in central Paris. This aligns with the climatological average low of 11 °C for the date and recent observations of 12–13 °C lows under similar anticyclonic conditions. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 10 °C and 11 °C because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C, while the 26.5 % chance attached to 9 °C or below reflects the tail risk if clearer skies and drier air enhance cooling beyond current model consensus. No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to moderate temperatures before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,736结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a high-pressure ridge over northern France will deliver clear to partly cloudy skies and light northeast winds overnight into September 21, favoring radiative cooling and supporting a minimum near 11–12 °C in central Paris. This aligns with the climatological average low of 11 °C for the date and recent observations of 12–13 °C lows under similar anticyclonic conditions. Traders assign the highest probabilities to 10 °C and 11 °C because small differences in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could shift the overnight low by 1–2 °C, while the 26.5 % chance attached to 9 °C or below reflects the tail risk if clearer skies and drier air enhance cooling beyond current model consensus. No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to moderate temperatures before dawn.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题