Forecast models, including GFS runs, converge on a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on September 20, 2026, driven by stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term September average low near 11°C while reflecting current conditions that suppress further drops. Trader consensus at 96% implied probability for exactly 13°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in official observations from Météo-France. A realistic challenge would require a sharper-than-expected nocturnal temperature plunge from increased cloud break or wind shift, potentially registering 12°C, though recent model consistency makes such deviation unlikely before final readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日巴黎最低气温？
9月20日巴黎最低气温？
13°C 96%
12°C 8%
11°C 3%
10°C或以下 2%
$15,755 交易量
$15,755 交易量
2026-09-20
10°C或以下
2%
11°C
3%
12°C
8%
13°C
96%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
13°C 96%
12°C 8%
11°C 3%
10°C或以下 2%
$15,755 交易量
$15,755 交易量
2026-09-20
10°C或以下
$16 交易量
2%
11°C
$66 交易量
3%
12°C
$243 交易量
8%
13°C
$2,197 交易量
96%
14°C
$9,777 交易量
<1%
15°C
$3,057 交易量
<1%
16°C
$246 交易量
<1%
17°C
$31 交易量
<1%
18°C
$41 交易量
<1%
19°C
$41 交易量
<1%
20°C或更高
$41 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models, including GFS runs, converge on a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on September 20, 2026, driven by stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term September average low near 11°C while reflecting current conditions that suppress further drops. Trader consensus at 96% implied probability for exactly 13°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in official observations from Météo-France. A realistic challenge would require a sharper-than-expected nocturnal temperature plunge from increased cloud break or wind shift, potentially registering 12°C, though recent model consistency makes such deviation unlikely before final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$15,755结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models, including GFS runs, converge on a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on September 20, 2026, driven by stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term September average low near 11°C while reflecting current conditions that suppress further drops. Trader consensus at 96% implied probability for exactly 13°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in official observations from Météo-France. A realistic challenge would require a sharper-than-expected nocturnal temperature plunge from increased cloud break or wind shift, potentially registering 12°C, though recent model consistency makes such deviation unlikely before final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,755结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETForecast models, including GFS runs, converge on a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on September 20, 2026, driven by stable high pressure, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the long-term September average low near 11°C while reflecting current conditions that suppress further drops. Trader consensus at 96% implied probability for exactly 13°C reflects the narrow uncertainty range in official observations from Météo-France. A realistic challenge would require a sharper-than-expected nocturnal temperature plunge from increased cloud break or wind shift, potentially registering 12°C, though recent model consistency makes such deviation unlikely before final readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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