**Current model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international forecasts points to an overnight low near 19°C for Qingdao on September 21 under partly cloudy to clearing skies with northerly winds at 3–4 m/s.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs around 27–28°C, consistent with historical September minima of 18–20°C for the coastal Shandong location. The near-even split between the 15°C-or-below (45%) and 25°C-or-higher (43.5%) buckets, alongside clustered probabilities for 17–21°C, reflects trader focus on forecast uncertainty—such as variations in cloud cover that could enhance or limit cooling, potential sea-breeze moderation, and minor model discrepancies in boundary-layer temperatures. Upcoming evening observations and updated runs will sharpen resolution criteria around the daily minimum threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日青岛最低气温？
9月21日青岛最低气温？
15°C或以下 90%
25°C或更高 83%
16°C 31%
20°C 31%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
15°C或以下
90%
16°C
31%
17°C
24%
18°C
28%
19°C
21%
20°C
31%
21°C
31%
22°C
15%
23°C
13%
24°C
13%
25°C或更高
83%
15°C或以下 90%
25°C或更高 83%
16°C 31%
20°C 31%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
90%
16°C
$0 交易量
31%
17°C
$0 交易量
24%
18°C
$17 交易量
28%
19°C
$75 交易量
21%
20°C
$0 交易量
31%
21°C
$0 交易量
31%
22°C
$0 交易量
15%
23°C
$0 交易量
13%
24°C
$0 交易量
13%
25°C或更高
$0 交易量
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international forecasts points to an overnight low near 19°C for Qingdao on September 21 under partly cloudy to clearing skies with northerly winds at 3–4 m/s.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs around 27–28°C, consistent with historical September minima of 18–20°C for the coastal Shandong location. The near-even split between the 15°C-or-below (45%) and 25°C-or-higher (43.5%) buckets, alongside clustered probabilities for 17–21°C, reflects trader focus on forecast uncertainty—such as variations in cloud cover that could enhance or limit cooling, potential sea-breeze moderation, and minor model discrepancies in boundary-layer temperatures. Upcoming evening observations and updated runs will sharpen resolution criteria around the daily minimum threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$92结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international forecasts points to an overnight low near 19°C for Qingdao on September 21 under partly cloudy to clearing skies with northerly winds at 3–4 m/s.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs around 27–28°C, consistent with historical September minima of 18–20°C for the coastal Shandong location. The near-even split between the 15°C-or-below (45%) and 25°C-or-higher (43.5%) buckets, alongside clustered probabilities for 17–21°C, reflects trader focus on forecast uncertainty—such as variations in cloud cover that could enhance or limit cooling, potential sea-breeze moderation, and minor model discrepancies in boundary-layer temperatures. Upcoming evening observations and updated runs will sharpen resolution criteria around the daily minimum threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$92结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET**Current model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international forecasts points to an overnight low near 19°C for Qingdao on September 21 under partly cloudy to clearing skies with northerly winds at 3–4 m/s.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling overnight after daytime highs around 27–28°C, consistent with historical September minima of 18–20°C for the coastal Shandong location. The near-even split between the 15°C-or-below (45%) and 25°C-or-higher (43.5%) buckets, alongside clustered probabilities for 17–21°C, reflects trader focus on forecast uncertainty—such as variations in cloud cover that could enhance or limit cooling, potential sea-breeze moderation, and minor model discrepancies in boundary-layer temperatures. Upcoming evening observations and updated runs will sharpen resolution criteria around the daily minimum threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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