Current ensemble forecasts from models like ICON-EU and ECMWF indicate Warsaw’s overnight low on September 22 will likely settle near 9–11°C under light northwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and high pressure near 1018–1020 hPa. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by residual moisture and partial cloudiness, limiting the drop below 8°C while preventing a sharp rebound above 12°C. Trader sentiment remains split because small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could push the minimum toward either cooler or milder thresholds, with new model runs and surface observations expected to refine the range before resolution. Historical September minima in Warsaw average near 8–10°C, placing the current setup close to seasonal norms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日华沙最低气温？
9月22日华沙最低气温？
4°C或以下 85%
14°C或更高 81%
9°C 40%
12°C 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
4°C或以下
85%
5°C
9%
6°C
9%
7°C
33%
8°C
25%
9°C
28%
10°C
29%
11°C
18%
12°C
38%
13°C
14%
14°C或更高
81%
4°C或以下 85%
14°C或更高 81%
9°C 40%
12°C 38%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
4°C或以下
$0 交易量
85%
5°C
$0 交易量
9%
6°C
$0 交易量
9%
7°C
$0 交易量
33%
8°C
$0 交易量
25%
9°C
$18 交易量
28%
10°C
$0 交易量
29%
11°C
$0 交易量
18%
12°C
$0 交易量
38%
13°C
$0 交易量
14%
14°C或更高
$0 交易量
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models like ICON-EU and ECMWF indicate Warsaw’s overnight low on September 22 will likely settle near 9–11°C under light northwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and high pressure near 1018–1020 hPa. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by residual moisture and partial cloudiness, limiting the drop below 8°C while preventing a sharp rebound above 12°C. Trader sentiment remains split because small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could push the minimum toward either cooler or milder thresholds, with new model runs and surface observations expected to refine the range before resolution. Historical September minima in Warsaw average near 8–10°C, placing the current setup close to seasonal norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$18结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models like ICON-EU and ECMWF indicate Warsaw’s overnight low on September 22 will likely settle near 9–11°C under light northwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and high pressure near 1018–1020 hPa. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by residual moisture and partial cloudiness, limiting the drop below 8°C while preventing a sharp rebound above 12°C. Trader sentiment remains split because small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could push the minimum toward either cooler or milder thresholds, with new model runs and surface observations expected to refine the range before resolution. Historical September minima in Warsaw average near 8–10°C, placing the current setup close to seasonal norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from models like ICON-EU and ECMWF indicate Warsaw’s overnight low on September 22 will likely settle near 9–11°C under light northwesterly winds, variable cloud cover, and high pressure near 1018–1020 hPa. Radiative cooling overnight will be moderated by residual moisture and partial cloudiness, limiting the drop below 8°C while preventing a sharp rebound above 12°C. Trader sentiment remains split because small shifts in cloud timing or wind direction could push the minimum toward either cooler or milder thresholds, with new model runs and surface observations expected to refine the range before resolution. Historical September minima in Warsaw average near 8–10°C, placing the current setup close to seasonal norms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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