Forecast models from agencies like those underlying globalmeteo and WeatherBug indicate a minimum near 12–14°C for Amsterdam on September 21, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with light westerly winds and partly to mostly cloudy skies that moderate but do not fully suppress radiative cooling overnight. Historical September averages place the daily low around 10.5°C, yet current conditions reflect a mild late-summer pattern with limited cold advection. Trader consensus clusters on 11–14°C outcomes because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C across ensemble runs, while probabilities drop sharply below 10°C or above 15°C given the absence of strong frontal systems or clear-sky extremes in the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度？
9月21日阿姆斯特丹的最低温度？
12°C 40%
10°C 39%
15°C 39%
13°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
7°C或以下
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
39%
11°C
19%
12°C
40%
13°C
29%
14°C
22%
15°C
39%
16°C
3%
17°C或更高
2%
12°C 40%
10°C 39%
15°C 39%
13°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
8°C
$0 交易量
2%
9°C
$0 交易量
2%
10°C
$0 交易量
39%
11°C
$6 交易量
19%
12°C
$0 交易量
40%
13°C
$0 交易量
29%
14°C
$6 交易量
22%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C
$0 交易量
3%
17°C或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like those underlying globalmeteo and WeatherBug indicate a minimum near 12–14°C for Amsterdam on September 21, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with light westerly winds and partly to mostly cloudy skies that moderate but do not fully suppress radiative cooling overnight. Historical September averages place the daily low around 10.5°C, yet current conditions reflect a mild late-summer pattern with limited cold advection. Trader consensus clusters on 11–14°C outcomes because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C across ensemble runs, while probabilities drop sharply below 10°C or above 15°C given the absence of strong frontal systems or clear-sky extremes in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$12结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like those underlying globalmeteo and WeatherBug indicate a minimum near 12–14°C for Amsterdam on September 21, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with light westerly winds and partly to mostly cloudy skies that moderate but do not fully suppress radiative cooling overnight. Historical September averages place the daily low around 10.5°C, yet current conditions reflect a mild late-summer pattern with limited cold advection. Trader consensus clusters on 11–14°C outcomes because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C across ensemble runs, while probabilities drop sharply below 10°C or above 15°C given the absence of strong frontal systems or clear-sky extremes in the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETForecast models from agencies like those underlying globalmeteo and WeatherBug indicate a minimum near 12–14°C for Amsterdam on September 21, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with light westerly winds and partly to mostly cloudy skies that moderate but do not fully suppress radiative cooling overnight. Historical September averages place the daily low around 10.5°C, yet current conditions reflect a mild late-summer pattern with limited cold advection. Trader consensus clusters on 11–14°C outcomes because small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C across ensemble runs, while probabilities drop sharply below 10°C or above 15°C given the absence of strong frontal systems or clear-sky extremes in the latest guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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