Recent forecasts from sources including Météo-France and AccuWeather indicate Paris overnight lows near 18–19°C for August 11 amid a persistent warm pattern with above-normal seasonal temperatures. High pressure and mostly clear skies are limiting cloud cover that would otherwise moderate radiative cooling, while light winds and the urban heat island effect support minima in the upper teens Celsius rather than the climatological average near 15°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer conditions, but subtle variations in timing of any residual moisture or nocturnal cloud could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will clarify whether conditions trend slightly cooler or hold steady.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日巴黎最低气温？
8月11日巴黎最低气温？
17°C 38%
18°C 29%
19°C 20%
16°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
14°C或以下
3%
15°C
6%
16°C
18%
17°C
38%
18°C
29%
19°C
16%
20°C
6%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C或更高
1%
17°C 38%
18°C 29%
19°C 20%
16°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
14°C或以下
$36 交易量
3%
15°C
$1 交易量
6%
16°C
$51 交易量
18%
17°C
$0 交易量
38%
18°C
$0 交易量
29%
19°C
$31 交易量
16%
20°C
$12 交易量
6%
21°C
$20 交易量
2%
22°C
$10 交易量
3%
23°C
$10 交易量
2%
24°C或更高
$12 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Météo-France and AccuWeather indicate Paris overnight lows near 18–19°C for August 11 amid a persistent warm pattern with above-normal seasonal temperatures. High pressure and mostly clear skies are limiting cloud cover that would otherwise moderate radiative cooling, while light winds and the urban heat island effect support minima in the upper teens Celsius rather than the climatological average near 15°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer conditions, but subtle variations in timing of any residual moisture or nocturnal cloud could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will clarify whether conditions trend slightly cooler or hold steady.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$183结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Météo-France and AccuWeather indicate Paris overnight lows near 18–19°C for August 11 amid a persistent warm pattern with above-normal seasonal temperatures. High pressure and mostly clear skies are limiting cloud cover that would otherwise moderate radiative cooling, while light winds and the urban heat island effect support minima in the upper teens Celsius rather than the climatological average near 15°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer conditions, but subtle variations in timing of any residual moisture or nocturnal cloud could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will clarify whether conditions trend slightly cooler or hold steady.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$183结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including Météo-France and AccuWeather indicate Paris overnight lows near 18–19°C for August 11 amid a persistent warm pattern with above-normal seasonal temperatures. High pressure and mostly clear skies are limiting cloud cover that would otherwise moderate radiative cooling, while light winds and the urban heat island effect support minima in the upper teens Celsius rather than the climatological average near 15°C. Model consensus shows limited spread in boundary-layer conditions, but subtle variations in timing of any residual moisture or nocturnal cloud could shift the recorded low by 1–2°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 17–19°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will clarify whether conditions trend slightly cooler or hold steady.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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