Official Met Office observations and forecast model consensus have confirmed an overnight minimum of 16°C as the lowest temperature recorded in London on August 11, 2026, underpinning the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. A dominant high-pressure system delivered clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that limited radiative cooling, elevating the boundary-layer minimum several degrees above the long-term August average of 13–14°C while daytime highs reached 25–26°C. Ensemble guidance showed tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in the final station readings. Only an unusually sharp wind drop or clearer overnight skies could have allowed further cooling toward 14–15°C, scenarios that did not materialize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日伦敦最低气温？
8月11日伦敦最低气温？
16°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$12,068 交易量
$12,068 交易量
2026-08-11
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
16°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$12,068 交易量
$12,068 交易量
2026-08-11
12°C或以下
$672 交易量
否
13°C
$300 交易量
否
14°C
$440 交易量
否
15°C
$1,099 交易量
否
16°C
$3,766 交易量
是
17°C
$3,139 交易量
否
18°C
$698 交易量
否
19°C
$689 交易量
否
20°C
$302 交易量
否
21°C
$679 交易量
否
22°C或更高
$284 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations and forecast model consensus have confirmed an overnight minimum of 16°C as the lowest temperature recorded in London on August 11, 2026, underpinning the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. A dominant high-pressure system delivered clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that limited radiative cooling, elevating the boundary-layer minimum several degrees above the long-term August average of 13–14°C while daytime highs reached 25–26°C. Ensemble guidance showed tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in the final station readings. Only an unusually sharp wind drop or clearer overnight skies could have allowed further cooling toward 14–15°C, scenarios that did not materialize.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$12,068结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office observations and forecast model consensus have confirmed an overnight minimum of 16°C as the lowest temperature recorded in London on August 11, 2026, underpinning the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. A dominant high-pressure system delivered clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that limited radiative cooling, elevating the boundary-layer minimum several degrees above the long-term August average of 13–14°C while daytime highs reached 25–26°C. Ensemble guidance showed tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in the final station readings. Only an unusually sharp wind drop or clearer overnight skies could have allowed further cooling toward 14–15°C, scenarios that did not materialize.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,068结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official Met Office observations and forecast model consensus have confirmed an overnight minimum of 16°C as the lowest temperature recorded in London on August 11, 2026, underpinning the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome. A dominant high-pressure system delivered clear to partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds that limited radiative cooling, elevating the boundary-layer minimum several degrees above the long-term August average of 13–14°C while daytime highs reached 25–26°C. Ensemble guidance showed tight clustering around this value with minimal spread, reflecting high confidence in the final station readings. Only an unusually sharp wind drop or clearer overnight skies could have allowed further cooling toward 14–15°C, scenarios that did not materialize.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题