Official Met Office observations from London stations, including Heathrow, recorded a minimum temperature of 19°C on August 17, 2026, driving the market's complete consensus at that outcome. Mild overnight conditions under hazy sunshine, light northwesterly winds, and residual warmth from a record-warm summer kept radiative cooling limited, aligning with forecast model guidance showing lows near 17–19°C rather than typical seasonal values around 14–15°C. This outcome reflects the tight clustering of ensemble predictions and real-time surface data, with urban heat-island effects further moderating minima. Only an unforeseen revision to official station records or a change in resolution criteria could realistically shift the result, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary figures are validated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日伦敦最低气温?
19°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$20,725 交易量
$20,725 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
19°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$20,725 交易量
$20,725 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official Met Office observations from London stations, including Heathrow, recorded a minimum temperature of 19°C on August 17, 2026, driving the market's complete consensus at that outcome. Mild overnight conditions under hazy sunshine, light northwesterly winds, and residual warmth from a record-warm summer kept radiative cooling limited, aligning with forecast model guidance showing lows near 17–19°C rather than typical seasonal values around 14–15°C. This outcome reflects the tight clustering of ensemble predictions and real-time surface data, with urban heat-island effects further moderating minima. Only an unforeseen revision to official station records or a change in resolution criteria could realistically shift the result, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary figures are validated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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