Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 32–33°C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 19 under mostly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and low precipitation chances. Incheon’s coastal setting introduces a moderating sea-breeze effect that frequently holds afternoon highs 1–2°C below inland Seoul readings, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–30°C. Minor differences among these outcomes hinge on exact timing of any showers, cloud thickness limiting solar heating, and Yellow Sea air-mass influence; recent model runs show little change in this setup over the past 48 hours. Traders appear to weight these local factors and historical Incheon August maxima more heavily than broader regional guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日首尔(仁川)气温最高?
30°C 35%
29°C 32%
31°C 18%
28°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
32%
30°C
35%
31°C
18%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 35%
29°C 32%
31°C 18%
28°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
32%
30°C
35%
31°C
18%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 32–33°C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 19 under mostly cloudy conditions with light westerly winds and low precipitation chances. Incheon’s coastal setting introduces a moderating sea-breeze effect that frequently holds afternoon highs 1–2°C below inland Seoul readings, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–30°C. Minor differences among these outcomes hinge on exact timing of any showers, cloud thickness limiting solar heating, and Yellow Sea air-mass influence; recent model runs show little change in this setup over the past 48 hours. Traders appear to weight these local factors and historical Incheon August maxima more heavily than broader regional guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题