Latest official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 33°C on August 17 under southwesterly flow with scattered thunderstorms and showers, which moderate peak solar heating amid typical mid-August humidity levels above 80%. This setup aligns with climatological averages of 31–32°C and the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures across August–October, while convective activity and cloud cover limit risks of 34°C or higher. Trader emphasis on the 32–33°C range reflects these short-term model runs, with resolution depending on verified observatory readings the next day amid inherent forecast uncertainty from evolving monsoon patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日香港气温最高?
33°C 38%
32°C 27%
34°C 23%
31°C 7%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
27%
33°C
38%
34°C
23%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 38%
32°C 27%
34°C 23%
31°C 7%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
27%
33°C
38%
34°C
23%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 33°C on August 17 under southwesterly flow with scattered thunderstorms and showers, which moderate peak solar heating amid typical mid-August humidity levels above 80%. This setup aligns with climatological averages of 31–32°C and the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures across August–October, while convective activity and cloud cover limit risks of 34°C or higher. Trader emphasis on the 32–33°C range reflects these short-term model runs, with resolution depending on verified observatory readings the next day amid inherent forecast uncertainty from evolving monsoon patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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