Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Miami on August 17 near 79–81°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Persistent subtropical high pressure, easterly flow, and elevated dew points near 76–78°F limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while recent reductions in daytime cloud cover and rainfall have sustained warmer boundary-layer temperatures. Historical August norms show average lows of 78–80°F, but current conditions reflect a broader regional heat pattern with minimal cold-air advection. Traders weigh potential model adjustments from updated runs against typical sea-breeze moderation and any late-day convection that could slightly enhance cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日迈阿密最低气温？
8月17日迈阿密最低气温？
80-81°F 57%
78-79°F 36%
76-77°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
69°F或以下
4%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
7%
88°F或更高
1%
80-81°F 57%
78-79°F 36%
76-77°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
69°F或以下
$0 交易量
4%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
7%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
11%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
18%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
20%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
36%
80-81°F
$16 交易量
37%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
10%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
6%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
7%
88°F或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Miami on August 17 near 79–81°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Persistent subtropical high pressure, easterly flow, and elevated dew points near 76–78°F limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while recent reductions in daytime cloud cover and rainfall have sustained warmer boundary-layer temperatures. Historical August norms show average lows of 78–80°F, but current conditions reflect a broader regional heat pattern with minimal cold-air advection. Traders weigh potential model adjustments from updated runs against typical sea-breeze moderation and any late-day convection that could slightly enhance cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$21结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Miami on August 17 near 79–81°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Persistent subtropical high pressure, easterly flow, and elevated dew points near 76–78°F limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while recent reductions in daytime cloud cover and rainfall have sustained warmer boundary-layer temperatures. Historical August norms show average lows of 78–80°F, but current conditions reflect a broader regional heat pattern with minimal cold-air advection. Traders weigh potential model adjustments from updated runs against typical sea-breeze moderation and any late-day convection that could slightly enhance cooling.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$21结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETForecast models from the National Weather Service and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Miami on August 17 near 79–81°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 78–79°F and 80–81°F bins. Persistent subtropical high pressure, easterly flow, and elevated dew points near 76–78°F limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while recent reductions in daytime cloud cover and rainfall have sustained warmer boundary-layer temperatures. Historical August norms show average lows of 78–80°F, but current conditions reflect a broader regional heat pattern with minimal cold-air advection. Traders weigh potential model adjustments from updated runs against typical sea-breeze moderation and any late-day convection that could slightly enhance cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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