Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City shows overnight lows on August 17 stabilizing in the 71–74°F range under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, which limits radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. This consensus, aligned with climatological normals near 70°F for mid-August Central Park observations, underpins the market’s tight clustering on 72–73°F and 74–75°F outcomes. Minor upward shifts in guidance over the past 24 hours, tied to warmer boundary-layer air and reduced dew-point depressions, have narrowed the spread versus earlier runs that allowed slightly cooler scenarios. Resolution hinges on the official NWS minimum at Central Park, with any unexpected clearing or wind shift the primary variables that could alter the final reading before markets settle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月17日的最低温度？
纽约市8月17日的最低温度？
72-73°F 38%
70-71°F 17%
74-75°F 12%
78-79华氏度 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
61°F或更低
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
5%
78-79华氏度
8%
80°F或更高
1%
72-73°F 38%
70-71°F 17%
74-75°F 12%
78-79华氏度 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
61°F或更低
$5 交易量
1%
62-63°F
$5 交易量
5%
64-65°F
$5 交易量
5%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
5%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
8%
70-71°F
$45 交易量
17%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
38%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
12%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
5%
78-79华氏度
$5 交易量
8%
80°F或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City shows overnight lows on August 17 stabilizing in the 71–74°F range under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, which limits radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. This consensus, aligned with climatological normals near 70°F for mid-August Central Park observations, underpins the market’s tight clustering on 72–73°F and 74–75°F outcomes. Minor upward shifts in guidance over the past 24 hours, tied to warmer boundary-layer air and reduced dew-point depressions, have narrowed the spread versus earlier runs that allowed slightly cooler scenarios. Resolution hinges on the official NWS minimum at Central Park, with any unexpected clearing or wind shift the primary variables that could alter the final reading before markets settle.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$70结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City shows overnight lows on August 17 stabilizing in the 71–74°F range under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, which limits radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. This consensus, aligned with climatological normals near 70°F for mid-August Central Park observations, underpins the market’s tight clustering on 72–73°F and 74–75°F outcomes. Minor upward shifts in guidance over the past 24 hours, tied to warmer boundary-layer air and reduced dew-point depressions, have narrowed the spread versus earlier runs that allowed slightly cooler scenarios. Resolution hinges on the official NWS minimum at Central Park, with any unexpected clearing or wind shift the primary variables that could alter the final reading before markets settle.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$70结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETLatest National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for New York City shows overnight lows on August 17 stabilizing in the 71–74°F range under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, which limits radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. This consensus, aligned with climatological normals near 70°F for mid-August Central Park observations, underpins the market’s tight clustering on 72–73°F and 74–75°F outcomes. Minor upward shifts in guidance over the past 24 hours, tied to warmer boundary-layer air and reduced dew-point depressions, have narrowed the spread versus earlier runs that allowed slightly cooler scenarios. Resolution hinges on the official NWS minimum at Central Park, with any unexpected clearing or wind shift the primary variables that could alter the final reading before markets settle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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