Recent KMA forecasts indicate showers and 60% precipitation probability for Busan on August 16, which is the main factor capping implied highs near 27°C. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall reduce incoming solar radiation, limiting surface heating compared to clear-sky August climatology of 29–31°C. High humidity and light winds further moderate daytime peaks, with ensemble models showing consensus around 26–28°C under these conditions. Traders price the 27°C outcome highest because updated short-range guidance emphasizes ongoing moisture from regional monsoon influences rather than typical summer subsidence. Resolution hinges on official KMA observations, with any forecast shift in rain timing or intensity able to alter the final maximum by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日釜山气温最高？
8月16日釜山气温最高？
27°C 39%
28°C 25%
26°C 23%
25°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
12%
26°C
23%
27°C
39%
28°C
25%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
27°C 39%
28°C 25%
26°C 23%
25°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
21°C or below
$197 交易量
<1%
22°C
$173 交易量
<1%
23°C
$217 交易量
<1%
24°C
$377 交易量
4%
25°C
$1,114 交易量
12%
26°C
$644 交易量
23%
27°C
$1,772 交易量
39%
28°C
$1,277 交易量
25%
29°C
$632 交易量
5%
30°C
$300 交易量
<1%
31°C或更高
$294 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA forecasts indicate showers and 60% precipitation probability for Busan on August 16, which is the main factor capping implied highs near 27°C. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall reduce incoming solar radiation, limiting surface heating compared to clear-sky August climatology of 29–31°C. High humidity and light winds further moderate daytime peaks, with ensemble models showing consensus around 26–28°C under these conditions. Traders price the 27°C outcome highest because updated short-range guidance emphasizes ongoing moisture from regional monsoon influences rather than typical summer subsidence. Resolution hinges on official KMA observations, with any forecast shift in rain timing or intensity able to alter the final maximum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$6,997结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA forecasts indicate showers and 60% precipitation probability for Busan on August 16, which is the main factor capping implied highs near 27°C. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall reduce incoming solar radiation, limiting surface heating compared to clear-sky August climatology of 29–31°C. High humidity and light winds further moderate daytime peaks, with ensemble models showing consensus around 26–28°C under these conditions. Traders price the 27°C outcome highest because updated short-range guidance emphasizes ongoing moisture from regional monsoon influences rather than typical summer subsidence. Resolution hinges on official KMA observations, with any forecast shift in rain timing or intensity able to alter the final maximum by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,997结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent KMA forecasts indicate showers and 60% precipitation probability for Busan on August 16, which is the main factor capping implied highs near 27°C. Persistent cloud cover and rainfall reduce incoming solar radiation, limiting surface heating compared to clear-sky August climatology of 29–31°C. High humidity and light winds further moderate daytime peaks, with ensemble models showing consensus around 26–28°C under these conditions. Traders price the 27°C outcome highest because updated short-range guidance emphasizes ongoing moisture from regional monsoon influences rather than typical summer subsidence. Resolution hinges on official KMA observations, with any forecast shift in rain timing or intensity able to alter the final maximum by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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